Horizon Active Risk Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ARAAX Fund  USD 25.76  0.09  0.35%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.76, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Horizon Active's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Horizon Active is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Horizon Active Risk are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Horizon Active is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date29th of March 2025
Expense Ratio1.4300
  

Horizon Active Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,506  in Horizon Active Risk on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  70.00  from holding Horizon Active Risk or generate 2.79% return on investment over 90 days. Horizon Active Risk is currently producing 0.0484% returns and takes up 0.7065% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Horizon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Horizon Active is expected to generate 1.32 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.06 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Horizon Active Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
25.76
Please note that Horizon Active's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Horizon Active Risk retains a regular Real Value of $25.48 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $25.76. We determine the value of Horizon Active Risk from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Horizon Active is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Horizon Mutual Fund. However, Horizon Active's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  25.76 Real  25.48 Hype  25.5 Naive  25.71
The intrinsic value of Horizon Active's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Horizon Active's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
25.48
Real Value
26.19
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Horizon Active Risk helps investors to forecast how Horizon mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Horizon Active more accurately as focusing exclusively on Horizon Active's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9125.3925.87
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7925.5026.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.0025.7126.41
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Horizon Active Risk extending back to September 11, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Horizon Active stands at 25.76, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 25.76 and the lowest price hitting 25.76 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Horizon Active Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Horizon Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.76 90 days 25.76 
roughly 2.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Horizon Active to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.98 (This Horizon Active Risk probability density function shows the probability of Horizon Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Horizon Active has a beta of 0.76. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Horizon Active average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Horizon Active Risk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Horizon Active Risk has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007868 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Horizon Active Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Horizon Active

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Active Risk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7925.5026.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7725.4826.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.0025.7126.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9125.3925.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Horizon Active. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Horizon Active's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Horizon Active's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Horizon Active Risk.

Horizon Active Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Horizon Active is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Horizon Active's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Horizon Active Risk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Horizon Active within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Horizon Active Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Horizon Active for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Horizon Active Risk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 60.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Horizon Active Fundamentals Growth

Horizon Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Horizon Active, and Horizon Active fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Horizon Mutual Fund performance.

About Horizon Active Performance

Evaluating Horizon Active's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Horizon Active has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Horizon Active has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its objective by using a multi-discipline active asset allocation investment approach. The adviser executes its global securities allocation strategy by allocating assets across one or more sectors of the global securities markets. Normally, the fund invests a majority of its assets in equity securities or ETFs that invest primarily in equity securities however, it may invest in fixed income securities or in ETFs that invest primarily in such securities.

Things to note about Horizon Active Risk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Horizon Active for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Horizon Active Risk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 60.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Horizon Active's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Horizon Active's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Horizon Active's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Horizon Active's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Horizon Active's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Horizon Active's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Horizon Active's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Horizon Active's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Horizon Active's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Horizon Active's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Horizon Active's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Horizon Mutual Fund

Horizon Active financial ratios help investors to determine whether Horizon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Horizon with respect to the benefits of owning Horizon Active security.
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