Arrive Ai Stock Performance

ARAI Stock   1.13  0.02  1.74%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.92, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arrive AI will likely underperform. At this point, Arrive AI has a negative expected return of -1.88%. Please make sure to confirm Arrive AI's day typical price, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and treynor ratio , to decide if Arrive AI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Arrive AI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
1
Acquisition by Otoole Lora Taylor of 12082 shares of Arrive AI subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
2
Arrive AI Inc. Sees Large Decline in Short Interest - MarketBeat
12/30/2025
3
Acquisition by Mark Hamm of 124969 shares of Arrive AI subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
4
Arrive AI Stock Rating Upgraded by Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
5
Indianas National Drone Site Puts Arrive AI at the Center of Autonomous Delivery Scale
01/15/2026
6
Arrive AI Appoints Ian Geise as Head of Commercialization
01/22/2026
7
Dan OToole Executes the Arrive AI Play Book
01/26/2026
8
SIOS Technology COO Masahiro Arai Named to South Carolina 500 List of Most Influential Business Leaders
02/04/2026
9
Arrive AI to Demonstrate End-to-End Ground-Based Robot and Drone Autonomous Package Delivery at Curiosity Labs Innovation Center
02/09/2026
10
Arrive AI Showcases Autonomous Delivery Infrastructure Powered by Arrive Points at India AI Impact Summit 2026
02/17/2026
11
ARAI Arrive AI Inc. NASDAQ 1.19 on 18 Feb 2026 Model shows 21.85 percent upside - Meyka
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow325.5 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-114.7 K

Arrive AI Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  400.00  in Arrive AI on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (287.50) from holding Arrive AI or give up 71.87% of portfolio value over 90 days. Arrive AI is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.8934% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 52% of stocks are less volatile than Arrive, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arrive AI is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.32 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Arrive AI Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arrive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.13 90 days 1.13 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrive AI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Arrive AI probability density function shows the probability of Arrive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.92 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arrive AI will likely underperform. Additionally Arrive AI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Arrive AI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arrive AI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrive AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.746.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.086.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.517.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.11-0.13-0.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arrive AI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arrive AI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arrive AI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arrive AI.

Arrive AI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrive AI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrive AI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrive AI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrive AI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Arrive AI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrive AI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrive AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrive AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arrive AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arrive AI may become a speculative penny stock
Arrive AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.02 K).
Arrive AI generates negative cash flow from operations
Arrive AI has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ARAI Arrive AI Inc. NASDAQ 1.19 on 18 Feb 2026 Model shows 21.85 percent upside - Meyka

Arrive AI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrive AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrive AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30 M
Cash And Short Term Investments129.3 K

Arrive AI Fundamentals Growth

Arrive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arrive AI, and Arrive AI fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arrive Stock performance.

About Arrive AI Performance

By evaluating Arrive AI's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Arrive AI's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Arrive AI has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arrive AI has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(7.31)(7.67)
Return On Capital Employed 4.21  3.04 
Return On Assets(5.28)(5.55)
Return On Equity 4.15  3.69 

Things to note about Arrive AI performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrive AI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrive AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrive AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arrive AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arrive AI may become a speculative penny stock
Arrive AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.02 K).
Arrive AI generates negative cash flow from operations
Arrive AI has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ARAI Arrive AI Inc. NASDAQ 1.19 on 18 Feb 2026 Model shows 21.85 percent upside - Meyka
Evaluating Arrive AI's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arrive AI's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Arrive AI's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arrive AI's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arrive AI's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arrive AI's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arrive AI's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arrive AI's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arrive AI's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arrive AI's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arrive AI's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Arrive Stock analysis

When running Arrive AI's price analysis, check to measure Arrive AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrive AI is operating at the current time. Most of Arrive AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrive AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrive AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrive AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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