Ariel Fund Institutional Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ARAIX Fund  USD 74.40  -0.07  -0.09%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.02, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Ariel Fund returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ariel Fund is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Ariel Fund Institutional rank lower than 9% of all funds and fund portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat weak forward indicators, Ariel Fund sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
1
Qatar Foundation unveils Tamim Bin Hamad Chair for Arabic Language and Andalusian Culture - Doha News Qatar
01/07/2026
2
BYU cuts Arabic, Chinese Flagship programs following federal funding loss - universe.byu.edu
01/23/2026
3
Nominations open for ESCWA Digital Arabic Content Award - fundsforNGOs
02/12/2026
Expense Ratio Date1st of February 2026
Expense Ratio0.7000
  

Ariel Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 6,549 in Ariel Fund Institutional on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 891.00 from holding Ariel Fund Institutional or generated 13.61% return on investment over 90 days. Ariel Fund Institutional is currently producing a 0.2308% return and carries 1.9617% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Ariel, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon Ariel Fund is expected to generate 2.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 2.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Ariel Fund Institutional

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Ariel Fund Institutional extending back to December 30, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Ariel Fund stands at 74.40, as last reported on the 12th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 74.40 and the lowest price hitting 74.40 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For Ariel Mutual Fund, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some funds are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
74.40 90 days 74.40
about 62.03
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of Ariel Fund moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 62.03 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of Ariel Mutual Fund prices over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This suggests Ariel Fund Institutional market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ariel Fund is expected to follow. Additionally, Ariel Fund Institutional has an alpha of 0.2628, implying that it can generate a 0.2628 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Ariel Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ariel Fund

Accurately predicting the fund market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For Ariel Fund Institutional, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process — comparing methods and results helps investors develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to Ariel Fund's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.4474.4076.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.9680.6582.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.0972.0574.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.6378.4582.27
Details
Peer comparison enriches Ariel Fund analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the mutual fund market, and Ariel Fund has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in Ariel Fund Institutional should monitor Ariel Fund's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Ariel Fund Alerts and Suggestions

Alerts and suggestions for Ariel Fund give investors a structured way to monitor the fund for material events. Ariel Fund Institutional notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nominations open for ESCWA Digital Arabic Content Award - fundsforNGOs
The fund holds about 8.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Ariel Fund Fundamentals Growth

Ariel Mutual Fund performance is fundamentally tied to Ariel Fund's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for Ariel Mutual Fund.

About Ariel Fund Performance Analysis

Ariel Fund performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Cycle exposure remains aligned with broader market trends.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Ariel Fund Institutional is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.