Ark Fintech Innovation Etf Performance

ARKF Etf  USD 38.80  1.68  4.53%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.68, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ARK Fintech will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ARK Fintech Innovation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward-looking signals remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the Exchange Traded Fund stockholders. ...more
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ARK Fintech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,283  in ARK Fintech Innovation on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,403) from holding ARK Fintech Innovation or give up 26.56% of portfolio value over 90 days. ARK Fintech Innovation is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0594% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of etfs are less volatile than ARK, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ARK Fintech is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.23 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for ARK Fintech Innovation extending back to February 04, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of ARK Fintech stands at 38.80, as last reported on the 9th of February, with the highest price reaching 38.99 and the lowest price hitting 37.93 during the day.
3 y Volatility
38.42
200 Day MA
49.4364
1 y Volatility
37.71
50 Day MA
47.5752
Inception Date
2019-02-01
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

ARK Fintech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ARK Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.80 90 days 38.80 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARK Fintech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ARK Fintech Innovation probability density function shows the probability of ARK Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ARK Fintech will likely underperform. Additionally ARK Fintech Innovation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ARK Fintech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ARK Fintech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARK Fintech Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.7238.7840.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.3837.4439.50
Details

ARK Fintech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARK Fintech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARK Fintech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARK Fintech Innovation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARK Fintech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.68
σ
Overall volatility
3.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

ARK Fintech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARK Fintech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARK Fintech Innovation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARK Fintech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cathie Woods ARK Invest Loads Up on Robinhood, Bitmine and Circle During This Weeks Dip - CoinCentral
The fund created five year return of -8.0%
ARK Fintech Innovation holds 99.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

ARK Fintech Fundamentals Growth

ARK Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ARK Fintech, and ARK Fintech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ARK Etf performance.
Total Asset817.18 M

About ARK Fintech Performance

By analyzing ARK Fintech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ARK Fintech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ARK Fintech has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ARK Fintech has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund is an actively-managed ETF that will invest under normal circumstances primarily in domestic and foreign equity securities of companies that are engaged in the funds investment theme of financial technology innovation. Ark Fintech is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
ARK Fintech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cathie Woods ARK Invest Loads Up on Robinhood, Bitmine and Circle During This Weeks Dip - CoinCentral
The fund created five year return of -8.0%
ARK Fintech Innovation holds 99.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether ARK Fintech Innovation is a strong investment it is important to analyze ARK Fintech's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ARK Fintech's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ARK Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ARK Fintech Innovation. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Investors evaluate ARK Fintech Innovation using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ARK Fintech's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ARK Fintech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that ARK Fintech's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether ARK Fintech represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, ARK Fintech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.