ARVERNE GROUP (France) Performance
| ARVEN Stock | 4.60 0.06 1.29% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ARVERNE GROUP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ARVERNE GROUP is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ARVERNE GROUP has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm ARVERNE GROUP's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if ARVERNE GROUP performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days ARVERNE GROUP has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
ARVERNE |
ARVERNE GROUP Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 510.00 in ARVERNE GROUP on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (50.00) from holding ARVERNE GROUP or give up 9.8% of portfolio value over 90 days. ARVERNE GROUP is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.0232% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 9% of stocks are less volatile than ARVERNE, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ARVERNE GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ARVERNE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.60 | 90 days | 4.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARVERNE GROUP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ARVERNE GROUP probability density function shows the probability of ARVERNE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARVERNE GROUP has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ARVERNE GROUP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ARVERNE GROUP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ARVERNE GROUP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ARVERNE GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ARVERNE GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARVERNE GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ARVERNE GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARVERNE GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARVERNE GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARVERNE GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARVERNE GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
ARVERNE GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARVERNE GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARVERNE GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ARVERNE GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Things to note about ARVERNE GROUP performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ARVERNE GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ARVERNE GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ARVERNE GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
- Analyzing ARVERNE GROUP's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ARVERNE GROUP's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ARVERNE GROUP's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ARVERNE GROUP's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ARVERNE GROUP's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ARVERNE GROUP's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ARVERNE GROUP's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for ARVERNE Stock Analysis
When running ARVERNE GROUP's price analysis, check to measure ARVERNE GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARVERNE GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of ARVERNE GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARVERNE GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARVERNE GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARVERNE GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.