Arrival Stock Performance

ARVLF Stock   0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Arrival holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -13.71, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Arrival are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Arrival is expected to outperform it. Use Arrival treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Arrival.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Arrival are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile essential indicators, Arrival reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:50
Last Split Date
2023-04-14
1
Arrival Of US Aircraft Carrier Fuels Venezuelan Fears Of Attack - Barrons
11/11/2025
2
How strong is Arrival stock earnings growth - Gap Up Consistent Profit Focused Trading Strategies - newser.com
11/14/2025
3
What insider purchases suggest about Arrival stock - July 2025 Reactions Free Reliable Trade Execution Plans - newser.com
11/17/2025
4
Will Arrival stock extend growth story - 2025 Earnings Impact Reliable Price Action Trade Plans - newser.com
11/20/2025
5
What is the fair value estimate for Arrival stock in 2025 - Portfolio Growth Summary High Accuracy Buy Signal Tips - Newser
12/04/2025
6
Ontario Marks Arrival of First Northlander Train Ahead of Service Restoration - railway-news.com
01/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow75.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-264.2 M

Arrival Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.01  in Arrival on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Arrival or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Arrival is currently producing 18.3065% returns and takes up 82.1115% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Arrival, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arrival is expected to generate 100.23 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 100.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Arrival Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arrival Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0001 90 days 0.0001 
about 70.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrival to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.96 (This Arrival probability density function shows the probability of Arrival Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arrival has a beta of -13.71. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Arrival are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Arrival is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Arrival has an alpha of 18.658, implying that it can generate a 18.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arrival Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arrival

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrival. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009550.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00009650.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000030.000182.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Arrival Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrival is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrival's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrival, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrival within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
18.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones-13.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.0001
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Arrival Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrival for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrival can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrival is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Arrival has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Arrival appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Arrival has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Arrival generates negative cash flow from operations
Arrival has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ontario Marks Arrival of First Northlander Train Ahead of Service Restoration - railway-news.com

Arrival Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrival Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrival's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrival's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments901.1 M

Arrival Fundamentals Growth

Arrival Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arrival, and Arrival fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arrival Stock performance.

About Arrival Performance

By analyzing Arrival's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Arrival's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Arrival has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arrival has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 310.65  276.13 
Return On Tangible Assets(1.11)(1.16)
Return On Capital Employed(0.83)(0.87)
Return On Assets(0.85)(0.80)
Return On Equity(1.22)(1.16)

Things to note about Arrival performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrival for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrival help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrival is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Arrival has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Arrival appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Arrival has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Arrival generates negative cash flow from operations
Arrival has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ontario Marks Arrival of First Northlander Train Ahead of Service Restoration - railway-news.com
Evaluating Arrival's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arrival's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Arrival's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arrival's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arrival's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arrival's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arrival's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arrival's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arrival's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arrival's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arrival's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Arrival Stock analysis

When running Arrival's price analysis, check to measure Arrival's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrival is operating at the current time. Most of Arrival's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrival's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrival's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrival to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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