ARROW ELECTRONICS (Germany) Performance

ARW Stock   98.50  1.50  1.50%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ARROW ELECTRONICS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ARROW ELECTRONICS is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, ARROW ELECTRONICS has a negative expected return of -0.041%. Please make sure to confirm ARROW ELECTRONICS's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if ARROW ELECTRONICS performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ARROW ELECTRONICS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, ARROW ELECTRONICS is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow222.2 M
Free Cash Flow-111.9 M
  

ARROW ELECTRONICS Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,200  in ARROW ELECTRONICS on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (350.00) from holding ARROW ELECTRONICS or give up 3.43% of portfolio value over 90 days. ARROW ELECTRONICS is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.8683% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 16% of stocks are less volatile than ARROW, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARROW ELECTRONICS is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

ARROW ELECTRONICS Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ARROW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 98.50 90 days 98.50 
about 30.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARROW ELECTRONICS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.12 (This ARROW ELECTRONICS probability density function shows the probability of ARROW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARROW ELECTRONICS has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ARROW ELECTRONICS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ARROW ELECTRONICS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ARROW ELECTRONICS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ARROW ELECTRONICS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ARROW ELECTRONICS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARROW ELECTRONICS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ARROW ELECTRONICS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.6498.50100.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.6496.50108.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.45100.31102.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.9197.46102.00
Details

ARROW ELECTRONICS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARROW ELECTRONICS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARROW ELECTRONICS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARROW ELECTRONICS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARROW ELECTRONICS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
3.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

ARROW ELECTRONICS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARROW ELECTRONICS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARROW ELECTRONICS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARROW ELECTRONICS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ARROW ELECTRONICS generates negative cash flow from operations

ARROW ELECTRONICS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ARROW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ARROW ELECTRONICS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ARROW ELECTRONICS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.2 M
Short Long Term Debt589.9 M

ARROW ELECTRONICS Fundamentals Growth

ARROW Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ARROW ELECTRONICS, and ARROW ELECTRONICS fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ARROW Stock performance.

About ARROW ELECTRONICS Performance

Assessing ARROW ELECTRONICS's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ARROW ELECTRONICS's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ARROW ELECTRONICS is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about ARROW ELECTRONICS performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ARROW ELECTRONICS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ARROW ELECTRONICS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARROW ELECTRONICS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ARROW ELECTRONICS generates negative cash flow from operations
Evaluating ARROW ELECTRONICS's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ARROW ELECTRONICS's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ARROW ELECTRONICS's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ARROW ELECTRONICS's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ARROW ELECTRONICS's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ARROW ELECTRONICS's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ARROW ELECTRONICS's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ARROW ELECTRONICS's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ARROW ELECTRONICS's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ARROW ELECTRONICS's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ARROW ELECTRONICS's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ARROW Stock Analysis

When running ARROW ELECTRONICS's price analysis, check to measure ARROW ELECTRONICS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARROW ELECTRONICS is operating at the current time. Most of ARROW ELECTRONICS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARROW ELECTRONICS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARROW ELECTRONICS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARROW ELECTRONICS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.