Assembly Biosciences Stock Performance

ASMB Stock  USD 25.78  0.07  0.27%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.13, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Assembly Biosciences returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Assembly Biosciences is expected to follow. At this point, Assembly Biosciences has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to confirm Assembly Biosciences' kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Assembly Biosciences performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Assembly Biosciences has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.25
Five Day Return
(6.65)
Year To Date Return
(23.61)
Ten Year Return
(59.24)
All Time Return
(93.18)
Last Split Factor
1:12
Last Split Date
2024-02-12
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Begin Period Cash Flow19.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities40.2 M

Assembly Biosciences Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,117  in Assembly Biosciences on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (539.00) from holding Assembly Biosciences or give up 17.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Assembly Biosciences is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.7266% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Assembly, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Assembly Biosciences is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Assembly Biosciences Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Assembly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.78 90 days 25.78 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Assembly Biosciences to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Assembly Biosciences probability density function shows the probability of Assembly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This suggests Assembly Biosciences market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Assembly Biosciences is expected to follow. Additionally Assembly Biosciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Assembly Biosciences Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Assembly Biosciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Assembly Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3626.0929.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2030.6934.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2124.9328.66
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.4547.7553.00
Details

Assembly Biosciences Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Assembly Biosciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Assembly Biosciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Assembly Biosciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Assembly Biosciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
3.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Assembly Biosciences Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Assembly Biosciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Assembly Biosciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Assembly Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Assembly Biosciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.18 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (24.65 M).
Assembly Biosciences currently holds about 116.69 M in cash with (51.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41.
Assembly Biosciences has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from apnews.com: Bachelors degrees at community colleges Lawmakers say yes, UC and CSU say slow down

Assembly Biosciences Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Assembly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Assembly Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Assembly Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments112.1 M

Assembly Biosciences Fundamentals Growth

Assembly Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Assembly Biosciences, and Assembly Biosciences fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Assembly Stock performance.

About Assembly Biosciences Performance

By analyzing Assembly Biosciences' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Assembly Biosciences' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Assembly Biosciences has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Assembly Biosciences has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(21.48)(22.55)
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.32)
Return On Capital Employed(0.73)(0.77)
Return On Assets(0.30)(0.32)
Return On Equity(1.39)(1.32)

Things to note about Assembly Biosciences performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Assembly Biosciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Assembly Biosciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Assembly Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Assembly Biosciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.18 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (24.65 M).
Assembly Biosciences currently holds about 116.69 M in cash with (51.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41.
Assembly Biosciences has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from apnews.com: Bachelors degrees at community colleges Lawmakers say yes, UC and CSU say slow down
Evaluating Assembly Biosciences' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Assembly Biosciences' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Assembly Biosciences' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Assembly Biosciences' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Assembly Biosciences' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Assembly Biosciences' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Assembly Biosciences' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Assembly Biosciences' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Assembly Biosciences' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Assembly Biosciences' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Assembly Biosciences' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Assembly Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure Assembly Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assembly Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Assembly Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assembly Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assembly Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assembly Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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