ASML Holding (Netherlands) Performance

ASML Stock  EUR 1,190  10.60  0.90%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ASML Holding holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.79, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ASML Holding's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ASML Holding is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ASML Holding's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether ASML Holding's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ASML Holding NV are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, ASML Holding unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0091
Payout Ratio
0.2685
Last Split Factor
77:100
Forward Dividend Rate
10.8
Ex Dividend Date
2026-04-24
1
ASML Holding N.V. ASML Shares Acquired by Solidarity Wealth LLC - MarketBeat
12/01/2025
2
Is ASML a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic - Yahoo Finance
01/06/2026
3
ASML Stock Price Up 6.7 percent - Still a Buy - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
4
ASML stock tipped to surge 70 percent on artificial intelligence wave - MSN
01/16/2026
5
ASML Stock Price Up 2.6 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
01/22/2026
6
ASML Holding Before Q4 Earnings How Should Investors Play the Stock - Zacks Investment Research
01/26/2026
7
Strategic Advisors LLC Raises Stock Holdings in ASML Holding N.V. ASML - MarketBeat
01/29/2026
8
ASML Holding N.V. ASML Stock Holdings Lowered by Federated Hermes Inc. - MarketBeat
02/03/2026
9
ASML Shares Are Up 97 percent in 6 Months. Could the Run Continue Into 2026 - TIKR.com
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow12.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.8 B
  

ASML Holding Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  87,523  in ASML Holding NV on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  31,517  from holding ASML Holding NV or generate 36.01% return on investment over 90 days. ASML Holding NV is generating 0.5224% of daily returns and assumes 2.6023% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 23% of stocks are less volatile than ASML, and 90% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASML Holding is expected to generate 3.41 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.41 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

ASML Holding Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ASML Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,190 90 days 1,190 
about 9.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASML Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.03 (This ASML Holding NV probability density function shows the probability of ASML Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASML Holding has a beta of 0.79. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ASML Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ASML Holding NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ASML Holding NV has an alpha of 0.4233, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ASML Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASML Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASML Holding NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0661,0681,309
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
903.48906.081,309
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.476.656.86
Details

ASML Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASML Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASML Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASML Holding NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASML Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
129.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

ASML Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASML Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASML Holding NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: GreenPower Motors Stock Faces Volatility Amid Recent Developments - StocksToTrade

ASML Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASML Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASML Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASML Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding388.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.3 B

ASML Holding Fundamentals Growth

ASML Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ASML Holding, and ASML Holding fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ASML Stock performance.

About ASML Holding Performance

Assessing ASML Holding's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ASML Holding's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ASML Holding is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 270.73  179.26 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.21  0.22 
Return On Capital Employed 0.43  0.45 
Return On Assets 0.19  0.20 
Return On Equity 0.49  0.51 

Things to note about ASML Holding NV performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASML Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ASML Holding NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: GreenPower Motors Stock Faces Volatility Amid Recent Developments - StocksToTrade
Evaluating ASML Holding's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ASML Holding's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ASML Holding's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ASML Holding's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ASML Holding's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ASML Holding's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ASML Holding's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ASML Holding's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ASML Holding's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ASML Holding's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ASML Holding's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ASML Stock Analysis

When running ASML Holding's price analysis, check to measure ASML Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASML Holding is operating at the current time. Most of ASML Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASML Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASML Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASML Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.