Heritage Fund R Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ATHWX Fund  USD 15.47  0.16  1.02%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.31, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Heritage Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Heritage Fund is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Fund R are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Heritage Fund showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Heritage Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,136  in Heritage Fund R on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  411.00  from holding Heritage Fund R or generate 36.18% return on investment over 90 days. Heritage Fund R is currently producing 0.6152% returns and takes up 5.2168% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 46% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Heritage, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Heritage Fund is expected to generate 6.98 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Heritage Fund Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
15.47
Please note that Heritage Fund's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Heritage Fund R retains a regular Real Value of $16.46 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $15.47. We determine the value of Heritage Fund R from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Heritage Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Heritage Mutual Fund. However, Heritage Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.47 Real  16.46 Hype  15.63 Naive  16.63
The intrinsic value of Heritage Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Heritage Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
16.46
Real Value
21.67
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Heritage Fund R helps investors to forecast how Heritage mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Heritage Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Heritage Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6516.1316.62
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4215.6320.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.4216.6321.84
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Heritage Fund R extending back to October 01, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Heritage Fund stands at 15.47, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 15.47 and the lowest price hitting 15.47 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Heritage Fund Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Heritage Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.47 90 days 15.47 
about 23.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heritage Fund to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.53 (This Heritage Fund R probability density function shows the probability of Heritage Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Heritage Fund has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Heritage Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Heritage Fund R will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Heritage Fund R has an alpha of 0.4975, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Heritage Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Heritage Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heritage Fund R. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Heritage Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4215.6320.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2516.4621.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4216.6321.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6516.1316.62
Details

Heritage Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heritage Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heritage Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heritage Fund R, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heritage Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Heritage Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heritage Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heritage Fund R can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heritage Fund R is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Heritage Fund R appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The fund holds 98.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Heritage Fund Fundamentals Growth

Heritage Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Heritage Fund, and Heritage Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Heritage Mutual Fund performance.

About Heritage Fund Performance

Evaluating Heritage Fund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Heritage Fund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Heritage Fund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests in stocks of medium-sized companies that the adviser believes will increase in value over time, using an investment strategy developed by the funds investment advisor. In implementing this strategy, the portfolio managers make their investment decisions based primarily on their analysis of individual companies, rather than on broad economic forecasts. Management of the fund is based on the belief that durable franchises in a growing industry can sustain above average earnings growth.

Things to note about Heritage Fund R performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Heritage Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Heritage Fund R help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heritage Fund R is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Heritage Fund R appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The fund holds 98.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Heritage Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Heritage Fund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Heritage Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Heritage Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Heritage Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Heritage Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Heritage Fund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Heritage Fund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Heritage Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Heritage Fund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Heritage Fund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Heritage Mutual Fund

Heritage Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Heritage Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Heritage with respect to the benefits of owning Heritage Fund security.
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