Aritzia Stock Performance

ATZ Stock  CAD 115.09  2.01  1.72%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Aritzia holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aritzia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aritzia is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Aritzia's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Aritzia's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aritzia are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Aritzia displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow163.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-277.1 M
  

Aritzia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,804  in Aritzia on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,705  from holding Aritzia or generate 17.39% return on investment over 90 days. Aritzia is generating 0.28% of daily returns assuming 2.0671% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 18% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Aritzia, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aritzia is expected to generate 2.76 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.76 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Aritzia Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aritzia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 115.09 90 days 115.09 
about 39.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aritzia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.23 (This Aritzia probability density function shows the probability of Aritzia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aritzia has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aritzia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aritzia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aritzia has an alpha of 0.2437, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aritzia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aritzia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aritzia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.02115.09117.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.58127.06129.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.14106.20108.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.18122.20134.23
Details

Aritzia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aritzia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aritzia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aritzia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aritzia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
10.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Aritzia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aritzia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aritzia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aritzia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments285.6 M

Aritzia Fundamentals Growth

Aritzia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aritzia, and Aritzia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aritzia Stock performance.

About Aritzia Performance

By examining Aritzia's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Aritzia's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Aritzia is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Aritzia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and sells apparels and accessories for women. Aritzia Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. ARITZIA INC operates under Apparel Retail classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 3480 people.

Things to note about Aritzia performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aritzia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aritzia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Aritzia's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aritzia's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aritzia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aritzia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aritzia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aritzia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aritzia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aritzia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aritzia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aritzia's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aritzia's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Aritzia Stock

Aritzia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aritzia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aritzia with respect to the benefits of owning Aritzia security.