AutoZone (Brazil) Performance

AZOI34 Stock  BRL 88.46  2.08  2.30%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AutoZone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AutoZone is likely to outperform the market. At this point, AutoZone has a negative expected return of -0.0039%. Please make sure to confirm AutoZone's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if AutoZone performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AutoZone has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, AutoZone is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Quick Ratio0.20
Fifty Two Week Low182.10
Fifty Two Week High421.80
  

AutoZone Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,965  in AutoZone on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (119.00) from holding AutoZone or give up 1.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. AutoZone is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.9428% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 17% of stocks are less volatile than AutoZone, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AutoZone is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

AutoZone Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AutoZone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 88.46 90 days 88.46 
about 55.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AutoZone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.01 (This AutoZone probability density function shows the probability of AutoZone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AutoZone has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AutoZone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AutoZone is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AutoZone has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AutoZone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AutoZone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AutoZone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.5288.4690.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.4374.3797.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.2988.2490.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.2085.3491.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AutoZone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AutoZone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AutoZone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AutoZone.

AutoZone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AutoZone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AutoZone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AutoZone, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AutoZone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
4.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

AutoZone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AutoZone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AutoZone can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AutoZone generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AutoZone has accumulated 8.12 B in total debt. AutoZone has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AutoZone until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AutoZone's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AutoZone sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AutoZone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AutoZone's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

AutoZone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AutoZone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AutoZone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AutoZone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares429.22M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19

AutoZone Fundamentals Growth

AutoZone Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AutoZone, and AutoZone fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AutoZone Stock performance.

About AutoZone Performance

By analyzing AutoZone's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AutoZone's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AutoZone has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AutoZone has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
AutoZone, Inc. retails and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories. AutoZone, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee. AUTOZONE INCDRN operates under Specialty Retail classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 60000 people.

Things to note about AutoZone performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AutoZone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AutoZone help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AutoZone generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AutoZone has accumulated 8.12 B in total debt. AutoZone has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AutoZone until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AutoZone's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AutoZone sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AutoZone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AutoZone's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating AutoZone's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AutoZone's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AutoZone's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AutoZone's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AutoZone's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AutoZone's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AutoZone's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AutoZone's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AutoZone's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AutoZone's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AutoZone's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for AutoZone Stock analysis

When running AutoZone's price analysis, check to measure AutoZone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AutoZone is operating at the current time. Most of AutoZone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AutoZone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AutoZone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AutoZone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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