BASF SE (Germany) Performance

BAS Stock  EUR 44.54  0.00  0.00%   
BASF SE has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, BASF SE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BASF SE is expected to be smaller as well. BASF SE at this time shows a risk of 1.24%. Please confirm BASF SE jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if BASF SE will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BASF SE are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, BASF SE is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0516
Payout Ratio
1.4331
1
Goldman Sachs Sticks to Their Buy Rating for BASF SE - The Globe and Mail
11/12/2025
2
BASF SE Stock On 27 November 2025 Share Price Slips As China Expansion, IPO Plans And Analyst Downgrades Collide - ts2.tech
11/27/2025
3
BASF SE Release of a capital market information - TradingView Track All Markets
12/29/2025
4
Is BASF Pricing Misaligned After Regulatory News And Mixed Long Term Returns - simplywall.st
01/22/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.6 B
Free Cash Flow748 M
  

BASF SE Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,305  in BASF SE on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  149.00  from holding BASF SE or generate 3.46% return on investment over 90 days. BASF SE is generating 0.0643% of daily returns assuming 1.2373% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 11% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than BASF SE, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BASF SE is expected to generate 1.49 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

BASF SE Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BASF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 44.54 90 days 44.54 
about 24.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BASF SE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.32 (This BASF SE probability density function shows the probability of BASF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BASF SE has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BASF SE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BASF SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BASF SE has an alpha of 0.0197, implying that it can generate a 0.0197 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BASF SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BASF SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BASF SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.3044.5445.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.9137.1548.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.0644.3045.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.3144.3445.37
Details

BASF SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BASF SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BASF SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BASF SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BASF SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

BASF SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BASF SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BASF SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BASF SE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is BASF Pricing Misaligned After Regulatory News And Mixed Long Term Returns - simplywall.st

BASF SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BASF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BASF SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BASF SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding892.5 M
Dividends Paid3.3 B

BASF SE Fundamentals Growth

BASF Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BASF SE, and BASF SE fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BASF Stock performance.

About BASF SE Performance

By analyzing BASF SE's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BASF SE's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BASF SE has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BASF SE has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
BASF SE is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on BE exchange.

Things to note about BASF SE performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BASF SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BASF SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BASF SE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is BASF Pricing Misaligned After Regulatory News And Mixed Long Term Returns - simplywall.st
Evaluating BASF SE's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BASF SE's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BASF SE's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BASF SE's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BASF SE's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BASF SE's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BASF SE's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BASF SE's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BASF SE's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BASF SE's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BASF SE's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for BASF Stock analysis

When running BASF SE's price analysis, check to measure BASF SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BASF SE is operating at the current time. Most of BASF SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BASF SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BASF SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BASF SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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