Birchtech Corp Stock Performance

BCHT Stock   5.36  0.16  3.08%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Birchtech Corp holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.6, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Birchtech Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Birchtech Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Birchtech Corp's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Birchtech Corp's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Birchtech Corp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Birchtech Corp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
0.2:1
Last Split Date
2025-12-31
1
Birchtech Corp. Achieves 41 percent Revenue Growth in Q3 2025, Strengthening Market Position - MSN
11/25/2025
2
Successful Air Business, Birchtech, to Lay Foundation for Commercial Water Treatment Expansion - Stockhouse
12/12/2025
3
Birchtech Corp files to offer 4.8 million shares in public offering, uplist to NYSE - Investing.com
01/13/2026
  

Birchtech Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  470.00  in Birchtech Corp on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding Birchtech Corp or generate 14.04% return on investment over 90 days. Birchtech Corp is generating 0.6587% of daily returns and assumes 9.883% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 88% of stocks are less volatile than Birchtech, and 87% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Birchtech Corp is expected to generate 13.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 13.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Birchtech Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Birchtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.36 90 days 5.36 
about 62.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Birchtech Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.61 (This Birchtech Corp probability density function shows the probability of Birchtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Birchtech Corp has a beta of 0.6 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Birchtech Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Birchtech Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Birchtech Corp has an alpha of 0.553, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Birchtech Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Birchtech Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birchtech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.265.2915.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.4314.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.9614.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.585.436.29
Details

Birchtech Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Birchtech Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Birchtech Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Birchtech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Birchtech Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Birchtech Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Birchtech Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Birchtech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Birchtech Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Birchtech Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Birchtech Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchtech Corp files to offer 4.8 million shares in public offering, uplist to NYSE - Investing.com

Birchtech Corp Fundamentals Growth

Birchtech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Birchtech Corp, and Birchtech Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Birchtech Stock performance.

About Birchtech Corp Performance

By examining Birchtech Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Birchtech Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Birchtech Corp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Birchtech Corp is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on TO exchange.

Things to note about Birchtech Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Birchtech Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Birchtech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Birchtech Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Birchtech Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Birchtech Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchtech Corp files to offer 4.8 million shares in public offering, uplist to NYSE - Investing.com
Evaluating Birchtech Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Birchtech Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Birchtech Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Birchtech Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Birchtech Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Birchtech Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Birchtech Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Birchtech Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Birchtech Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Birchtech Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Birchtech Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Birchtech Stock

Birchtech Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birchtech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birchtech with respect to the benefits of owning Birchtech Corp security.