Birks Group Stock Performance
| BGI Stock | USD 0.72 0.01 1.41% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Birks returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Birks is expected to follow. At this point, Birks Group has a negative expected return of -0.52%. Please make sure to confirm Birks' value at risk, rate of daily change, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Birks Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Birks Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -7.5 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -9.5 M |
Birks Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 109.00 in Birks Group on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (34.30) from holding Birks Group or give up 31.46% of portfolio value over 90 days. Birks Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.6493% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Birks, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Birks Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Birks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.72 | 90 days | 0.72 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Birks to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Birks Group probability density function shows the probability of Birks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Birks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Birks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birks Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Birks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Birks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Birks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Birks Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Birks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Birks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Birks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Birks Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Birks Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birks Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Birks Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Birks Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 177.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.82 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 71.52 M. | |
| Birks Group has about 1.51 M in cash with (1.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Birks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Birks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Birks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Birks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Birks Fundamentals Growth
Birks Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Birks, and Birks fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Birks Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -5.89 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0026 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 134.54 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 11.88 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 103.20 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 47.53 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.07 X | ||||
| Revenue | 177.81 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 2.2 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.51 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.11 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 145.42 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.77) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.91 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.46) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 196.08 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (138.29 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 136.3 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 107.29 M | ||||
About Birks Performance
By evaluating Birks' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Birks' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Birks has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Birks has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Birks Group Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and retails fine jewelry, timepieces, sterling and plated silverware, and gifts in the United States and Canada. Birks Group Inc. was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. Birks operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 296 people.Things to note about Birks Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Birks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Birks Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Birks Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birks Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Birks Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Birks Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 177.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.82 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 71.52 M. | |
| Birks Group has about 1.51 M in cash with (1.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing Birks' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Birks' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Birks' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Birks' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Birks' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Birks' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Birks' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Birks Stock analysis
When running Birks' price analysis, check to measure Birks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Birks is operating at the current time. Most of Birks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Birks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Birks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Birks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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