Ginnie Mae Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BGNMX Fund  USD 8.81  0.01  0.11%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0471, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ginnie Mae's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ginnie Mae is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Ginnie Mae Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Ginnie Mae is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of August 2022
Expense Ratio0.5500
  

Ginnie Mae Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  903.00  in Ginnie Mae Fund on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (22.00) from holding Ginnie Mae Fund or give up 2.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ginnie Mae Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.292% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Ginnie, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ginnie Mae is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.61 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Ginnie Mae Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
8.81
Please note that Ginnie Mae's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Ginnie Mae Fund retains a regular Real Value of $8.63 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $8.81. We determine the value of Ginnie Mae Fund from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Ginnie Mae is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ginnie Mutual Fund. However, Ginnie Mae's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.81 Real  8.63 Hype  8.81 Naive  8.79
The intrinsic value of Ginnie Mae's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ginnie Mae's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.63
Real Value
8.92
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ginnie Mae Fund helps investors to forecast how Ginnie mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ginnie Mae more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ginnie Mae's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.798.848.90
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.528.819.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.498.799.08
Details

Ginnie Mae Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ginnie Mae's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Ginnie Mae Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ginnie Mae's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1327

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Negative ReturnsBGNMX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.29
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.13
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ginnie Mae is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ginnie Mae by adding Ginnie Mae to a well-diversified portfolio.

Ginnie Mae Fundamentals Growth

Ginnie Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ginnie Mae, and Ginnie Mae fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ginnie Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset383.25 M

About Ginnie Mae Performance

Evaluating Ginnie Mae's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ginnie Mae has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ginnie Mae has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities issued by the Government National Mortgage Association . GNMA certificates represent interests in pools of mortgage loans and in the cash flows from these loans. To generate additional income, the fund may purchase securities, including mortgage dollar rolls, in advance through when-issued and forward commitment transactions. It may commit up to 35 percent of its total assets to such transactions.

Things to note about Ginnie Mae Fund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ginnie Mae for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Ginnie Mae Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ginnie Mae Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ginnie Mae Fund generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.
Evaluating Ginnie Mae's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ginnie Mae's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Ginnie Mae's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ginnie Mae's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ginnie Mae's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ginnie Mae's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ginnie Mae's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ginnie Mae's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Ginnie Mae's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ginnie Mae's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ginnie Mae's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Ginnie Mutual Fund

Ginnie Mae financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ginnie Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ginnie with respect to the benefits of owning Ginnie Mae security.
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