Topbuild Corp Stock Performance

BLD Stock  USD 517.50  23.59  4.78%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Topbuild Corp holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 1.75, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Topbuild Corp will likely underperform. Please check Topbuild Corp's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Topbuild Corp's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Topbuild Corp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain essential indicators, Topbuild Corp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.78
Five Day Return
9.32
Year To Date Return
19.94
Ten Year Return
K
All Time Return
2.2 K
1
JPMorgan Chase Co. Boosts Stock Holdings in TopBuild Corp. BLD - MarketBeat
12/03/2025
2
Does Fed Rate Cut And Steady Q3 Performance Change The Bull Case For TopBuild
12/12/2025
3
BlueScope assesses 13 billion bid from Kerry Stokes SGH and US steelmaker
01/05/2026
4
Strength Seen in TopBuild Can Its 5.6 percent Jump Turn into More Strength
01/12/2026
5
D. Boral ARC Acquisition I Corp. to Combine with Exascale Labs in 500M DealSPACInsider
01/13/2026
6
HCMLY vs. BLD Which Stock Is the Better Value Option
01/14/2026
7
Argan Stock Surges 49 percent in 6 months Should Investors Ride the Rally
01/15/2026
8
AEGON ASSET MANAGEMENT UK Plc Buys 66,601 Shares of TopBuild Corp. BLD - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
9
Boral in the market for Perth industrial land as it kicks off major expansion amid housing crunch
01/28/2026
10
Gypsum Board Suspended Ceilings Market Report 2026-2030 2035 Featuring Knauf Gips, USG Corp., Boral, Armstrong World Industries, Taishan Gypsum Co. and More
01/29/2026
11
Bell Potter tips 13 percent upside for this ASX 200 industrials stock
02/02/2026
12
Can TopBuilds Applied Coatings Buyout Boost Northeast Growth
02/04/2026
13
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying TopBuild After Strong MultiYear Share Gains
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow848.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-203.5 M

Topbuild Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  43,351  in Topbuild Corp on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,399  from holding Topbuild Corp or generate 19.37% return on investment over 90 days. Topbuild Corp is generating 0.3191% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.415% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Topbuild, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Topbuild Corp is expected to generate 2.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Topbuild Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Topbuild Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 517.50 90 days 517.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Topbuild Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Topbuild Corp probability density function shows the probability of Topbuild Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.75 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Topbuild Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Topbuild Corp has an alpha of 0.1871, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Topbuild Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Topbuild Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Topbuild Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
516.89519.31521.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
465.75543.46545.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
475.78478.19480.61
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
447.54491.80545.90
Details

Topbuild Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Topbuild Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Topbuild Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Topbuild Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Topbuild Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.75
σ
Overall volatility
28.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Topbuild Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Topbuild Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Topbuild Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Topbuild Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider Buying TopBuild After Strong MultiYear Share Gains

Topbuild Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Topbuild Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Topbuild Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Topbuild Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments400.3 M

Topbuild Corp Fundamentals Growth

Topbuild Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Topbuild Corp, and Topbuild Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Topbuild Stock performance.

About Topbuild Corp Performance

By analyzing Topbuild Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Topbuild Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Topbuild Corp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Topbuild Corp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 36.06  28.69 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.27  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.21 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.25  0.27 

Things to note about Topbuild Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Topbuild Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Topbuild Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Topbuild Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider Buying TopBuild After Strong MultiYear Share Gains
Evaluating Topbuild Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Topbuild Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Topbuild Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Topbuild Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Topbuild Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Topbuild Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Topbuild Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Topbuild Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Topbuild Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Topbuild Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Topbuild Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Topbuild Stock analysis

When running Topbuild Corp's price analysis, check to measure Topbuild Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topbuild Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Topbuild Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topbuild Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topbuild Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities