Backblaze Stock Performance

BLZE Stock  USD 4.64  0.16  3.33%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.59, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Backblaze will likely underperform. At this point, Backblaze has a negative expected return of -1.18%. Please make sure to confirm Backblaze's standard deviation, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Backblaze performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Backblaze has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.33)
Five Day Return
(4.33)
Year To Date Return
(2.11)
Ten Year Return
(76.68)
All Time Return
(76.68)
1
Backblaze Announces Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
11/06/2025
2
Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage Partners with Shareios Creator Monetization Platform
11/18/2025
3
Disposition of 27793 shares by Gleb Budman of Backblaze at 4.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
4
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Backblaze, Inc.
11/21/2025
5
Disposition of 6708 shares by Marc Suidan of Backblaze at 4.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
6
57,073 Shares in Backblaze, Inc. BLZE Bought by Magnetar Financial LLC
11/26/2025
7
Will Backblaze Inc. stock attract ESG investors - 2025 Short Interest Real-Time Chart Pattern Alerts - Newser
12/04/2025
8
Backblaze Partners with Shareio to Support Creators
12/09/2025
9
Is Backblaze A Risky Investment
12/18/2025
10
Backblaze Appoints Dan Spraggins as Senior Vice President of Engineering
01/05/2026
11
Backblaze Publishes Q4 2025 Network Stats Data Reveals the Rising Dominance of Neoclouds and AI Workflows
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow16.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.1 M

Backblaze Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,041  in Backblaze on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (577.00) from holding Backblaze or give up 55.43% of portfolio value over 90 days. Backblaze is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.1978% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Backblaze, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Backblaze is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.23 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Backblaze Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Backblaze Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.64 90 days 4.64 
about 69.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Backblaze to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.43 (This Backblaze probability density function shows the probability of Backblaze Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.59 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Backblaze will likely underperform. Additionally Backblaze has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Backblaze Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Backblaze

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Backblaze. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.649.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.229.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.279.43
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1510.0611.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Backblaze. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Backblaze's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Backblaze's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Backblaze.

Backblaze Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Backblaze is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Backblaze's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Backblaze, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Backblaze within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Backblaze Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Backblaze for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Backblaze can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Backblaze generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Backblaze has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Backblaze has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 127.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 84.33 M.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Backblaze Publishes Q4 2025 Network Stats Data Reveals the Rising Dominance of Neoclouds and AI Workflows

Backblaze Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Backblaze Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Backblaze's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Backblaze's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments54.9 M

Backblaze Fundamentals Growth

Backblaze Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Backblaze, and Backblaze fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Backblaze Stock performance.

About Backblaze Performance

By analyzing Backblaze's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Backblaze's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Backblaze has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Backblaze has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.44)(0.46)
Return On Capital Employed(0.49)(0.51)
Return On Assets(0.33)(0.35)
Return On Equity(0.72)(0.68)

Things to note about Backblaze performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Backblaze for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Backblaze help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Backblaze generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Backblaze has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Backblaze has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 127.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 84.33 M.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Backblaze Publishes Q4 2025 Network Stats Data Reveals the Rising Dominance of Neoclouds and AI Workflows
Evaluating Backblaze's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Backblaze's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Backblaze's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Backblaze's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Backblaze's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Backblaze's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Backblaze's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Backblaze's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Backblaze's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Backblaze's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Backblaze's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Backblaze's price analysis, check to measure Backblaze's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Backblaze is operating at the current time. Most of Backblaze's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Backblaze's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Backblaze's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Backblaze to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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