Bitcoin Performance
| BTC Crypto | USD 68,976 159.50 0.23% |
The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.6, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bitcoin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bitcoin is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Bitcoin shareholders. ...more
1 | Theres a remarkable consensus in the Senate for crypto market legislation now, says Coinbases Paul Grewal - Fox Business | 11/20/2025 |
2 | Do Kwon, Crypto Entrepreneur Who Caused 2022 Crash, Sentenced to 15 Years - The New York Times | 12/11/2025 |
3 | Brooklyn Man Accused of Stealing 16 Million in Crypto From Victims - The New York Times | 12/19/2025 |
4 | Iran accepts cryptocurrency as payment for advanced weapons - CoinDesk | 01/02/2026 |
5 | SEN RICHARD BLUMENTHAL Crypto is a gamble our financial system doesnt need - Fox News | 01/15/2026 |
Bitcoin |
Bitcoin Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 9,294,624 in Bitcoin on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,397,030) from holding Bitcoin or give up 25.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Bitcoin is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.3184% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 29% of all crypto coins have less volatile historical return distribution than Bitcoin, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Bitcoin Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Bitcoin Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 68,976 | 90 days | 68,976 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bitcoin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Bitcoin probability density function shows the probability of Bitcoin Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Bitcoin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bitcoin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitcoin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bitcoin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bitcoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bitcoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bitcoin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bitcoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8,224 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Bitcoin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bitcoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bitcoin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bitcoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
About Bitcoin Performance
By analyzing Bitcoin's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Bitcoin's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Bitcoin has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Bitcoin has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Bitcoin is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.| Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bitcoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Bitcoin. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.