Bitcoin Performance

BTC Crypto  USD 68,976  159.50  0.23%   
The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.6, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bitcoin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bitcoin is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Bitcoin shareholders. ...more
1
Theres a remarkable consensus in the Senate for crypto market legislation now, says Coinbases Paul Grewal - Fox Business
11/20/2025
2
Do Kwon, Crypto Entrepreneur Who Caused 2022 Crash, Sentenced to 15 Years - The New York Times
12/11/2025
3
Brooklyn Man Accused of Stealing 16 Million in Crypto From Victims - The New York Times
12/19/2025
4
Iran accepts cryptocurrency as payment for advanced weapons - CoinDesk
01/02/2026
5
SEN RICHARD BLUMENTHAL Crypto is a gamble our financial system doesnt need - Fox News
01/15/2026
  

Bitcoin Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,294,624  in Bitcoin on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,397,030) from holding Bitcoin or give up 25.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Bitcoin is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.3184% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 29% of all crypto coins have less volatile historical return distribution than Bitcoin, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bitcoin is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Bitcoin Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Bitcoin Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68,976 90 days 68,976 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bitcoin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Bitcoin probability density function shows the probability of Bitcoin Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bitcoin has a beta of -0.6 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bitcoin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bitcoin is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bitcoin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bitcoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitcoin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62,07869,07269,075
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62,53662,53975,874
Details

Bitcoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bitcoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bitcoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bitcoin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bitcoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.6
σ
Overall volatility
8,224
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Bitcoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bitcoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bitcoin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bitcoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance

About Bitcoin Performance

By analyzing Bitcoin's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Bitcoin's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Bitcoin has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Bitcoin has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Bitcoin is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bitcoin has high historical volatility and very poor performance
When determining whether Bitcoin offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bitcoin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bitcoin Crypto.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Bitcoin. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bitcoin's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Bitcoin value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.