Defiance Daily Target Etf Performance

BU Etf   29.49  0.13  0.44%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.31, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Defiance Daily will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Defiance Daily Target are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Defiance Daily unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Defiance Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,000  in Defiance Daily Target on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  962.30  from holding Defiance Daily Target or generate 48.12% return on investment over 90 days. Defiance Daily Target is generating 0.933% of daily returns and assumes 5.792% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 52% of etfs are less risky than Defiance on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 82% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Defiance Daily is expected to generate 7.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Defiance Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Defiance Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.49 90 days 29.49 
about 36.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.07 (This Defiance Daily Target probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.31 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Defiance Daily will likely underperform. Additionally Defiance Daily Target has an alpha of 0.8518, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Defiance Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Defiance Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Daily Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7029.4935.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.4327.2233.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4325.2331.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.0132.4837.94
Details

Defiance Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Daily Target, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.85
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
4.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Defiance Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Daily Target can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Defiance Daily is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Defiance Daily appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

About Defiance Daily Performance

Assessing Defiance Daily's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Defiance Daily's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Defiance Daily is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Defiance Daily is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Defiance Daily appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Defiance Daily Target. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Defiance Daily Target's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Defiance's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Defiance Daily's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Defiance Daily's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Defiance Daily's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Defiance Daily should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Defiance Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.