Buffalo Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BUFSX Fund  USD 15.91  0.24  1.49%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.19, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Buffalo Small will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Buffalo Small Cap are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Buffalo Small is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date29th of July 2025
Expense Ratio0.8900
  

Buffalo Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,525  in Buffalo Small Cap on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding Buffalo Small Cap or generate 4.33% return on investment over 90 days. Buffalo Small Cap is currently producing 0.0761% returns and takes up 1.1582% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than BUFFALO, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Buffalo Small is expected to generate 1.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Buffalo Small Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
15.91
Please note that Buffalo Small's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Buffalo Small Cap shows a prevailing Real Value of $15.66 per share. The current price of the fund is $15.91. We determine the value of Buffalo Small Cap from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Buffalo Small is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of BUFFALO Mutual Fund. However, Buffalo Small's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.91 Real  15.66 Hype  15.54 Naive  16.01
The intrinsic value of Buffalo Small's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Buffalo Small's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.66
Real Value
16.82
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Buffalo Small Cap helps investors to forecast how BUFFALO mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Buffalo Small more accurately as focusing exclusively on Buffalo Small's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7815.5916.40
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3815.5416.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.8616.0117.17
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Buffalo Small Cap extending back to September 29, 1998. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Buffalo Small stands at 15.91, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 15.91 and the lowest price hitting 15.91 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Buffalo Small Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BUFFALO Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.91 90 days 15.91 
nearly 4.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buffalo Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.85 (This Buffalo Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of BUFFALO Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.19 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Buffalo Small will likely underperform. Additionally Buffalo Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Buffalo Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Buffalo Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buffalo Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Buffalo Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3815.5416.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5015.6616.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8616.0117.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7815.5916.40
Details

Buffalo Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buffalo Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buffalo Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buffalo Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buffalo Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0074
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0

Buffalo Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buffalo Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buffalo Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Danish Pension Fund Is Exiting Treasuriesbut Will Stick With U.S. Assets - Barrons
The fund generated five year return of -4.0%
Buffalo Small Cap holds 95.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Buffalo Small Fundamentals Growth

BUFFALO Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Buffalo Small, and Buffalo Small fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BUFFALO Mutual Fund performance.

About Buffalo Small Performance

Evaluating Buffalo Small's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Buffalo Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Buffalo Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities, consisting of common stocks, preferred stocks, convertible securities, warrants, and rights of small-cap growth companies.

Things to note about Buffalo Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Buffalo Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Buffalo Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Danish Pension Fund Is Exiting Treasuriesbut Will Stick With U.S. Assets - Barrons
The fund generated five year return of -4.0%
Buffalo Small Cap holds 95.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Buffalo Small's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Buffalo Small's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Buffalo Small's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Buffalo Small's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Buffalo Small's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Buffalo Small's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Buffalo Small's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Buffalo Small's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Buffalo Small's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Buffalo Small's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Buffalo Small's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in BUFFALO Mutual Fund

Buffalo Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether BUFFALO Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BUFFALO with respect to the benefits of owning Buffalo Small security.
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