Cayson Acquisition Corp Stock Performance

CAPN Stock   11.02  0.02  0.18%   
Cayson Acquisition's total-return profile spans short-term moves to multi-year compounding. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.0394%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
9 · Moderate
On a recent 90-day basis, Cayson Acquisition Corp sits below 9% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Return quality should be judged alongside the volatility required to produce it. Return quality for Cayson Acquisition sits near neutral, with recent data providing no clear directional signal for holders. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-0.36
 Five Day Return
-0.81
 Year To Date Return
3.01
 Ten Year Return
10.15
 All Time Return
10.15

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,073 in Cayson Acquisition Corp on February 10, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 27.00 , a return of 2.52% over 90 days. Cayson Acquisition Corp is currently generating a 0.0394% daily expected return and carries 0.3236% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Cayson Acquisition exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 98% of comparable stocks, and CAPN has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Given a 90-day horizon, CAPN generates 0.35 times more return on investment than the market. Moreover, CAPN is 2.83 times less risky than the market. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.12% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Some traders use historical trading ranges as one reference point when evaluating whether Cayson Stock appears relatively overextended or discounted. Historical valuation ranges should be interpreted cautiously, especially during periods of strong momentum or macroeconomic stress.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
11.02 90 days 11.02
about 8.08 %
Statistical modeling indicates that the probability of Cayson Acquisition moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.08 %. The historical return profile over this window has produced more above-current than below-current outcomes. (This stock distribution maps the range in which Cayson Stock has been most likely to trade over the next 90 days).
Given a 90-day horizon, Cayson Acquisition has a beta of 0.0535 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cayson Acquisition's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Cayson Acquisition Corp tends to be smaller as well. Additionally, Cayson Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0269, implying that it can generate a 0.0269 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Cayson Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cayson Acquisition

Accurately predicting the stock market is one of the most challenging tasks for investors analyzing Cayson Acquisition Corp. No single approach dominates, but the practice of forecasting remains an essential element of the investment process.
Mean reversion setups in Cayson Acquisition emerge when price has deviated materially from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in Cayson Acquisition.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
10.7011.0211.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
10.6410.9611.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7911.1111.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9010.9811.05
Details
This analysis measures Cayson Acquisition's competitive standing across key financial and valuation dimensions. Relative margins, returns, and growth rates indicate whether Cayson Acquisition's valuation reflects competitive positioning.

Primary Risk Indicators

Volatility has been a defining feature of the stock market in recent decades, and Cayson Acquisition has reflected that pattern. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios that include Cayson Acquisition.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Investor Alerts and Insights

For investors following Cayson Acquisition, automated alerts provide early signals of meaningful shifts in stock dynamics. Cayson Acquisition Corp notifications highlight material changes that could affect portfolio decisions and aggregate risk exposure.
Cayson Acquisition Corp currently holds about $5.53 million in cash as of latest reporting with -$401,584 of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.34.
Cayson Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of CAPN shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 8-K Cayson Acquisition Corp Reports Material Event - Stock Titan

Price Density Drivers

For Cayson Acquisition, price shifts are largely a function of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader market conditions. Key market indicators for Cayson Stock are presented below to contextualize recent price movements.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6 million
Cash And Short Term Investments63,670

Cayson Acquisition Fundamentals Growth

The pricing of Cayson Stock is heavily influenced by Cayson Acquisition's fundamental performance over time. Investors monitor revenue growth, profit margins, cash flow generation, and debt management as key indicators.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Cayson Acquisition risk-adjusted performance measures whether returns compensate for the volatility borne by holders. Return per unit of risk provides a more stable comparison across instruments and regimes. Cayson Acquisition shows ROE of 5.85%, ROA of -0.9% (TTM) vs 1.32% (last reported).

Reported values for Cayson Acquisition Corp are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for analysis. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board