Carrefour (Germany) Performance

CAR Stock  EUR 14.22  0.38  2.75%   
Carrefour has a performance score of 12 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0926, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Carrefour's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Carrefour is expected to be smaller as well. Carrefour SA right now shows a risk of 1.17%. Please confirm Carrefour SA value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to decide if Carrefour SA will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Carrefour SA are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Carrefour may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0162
Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
2000-04-11
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Carrefour Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,284  in Carrefour SA on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  138.00  from holding Carrefour SA or generate 10.75% return on investment over 90 days. Carrefour SA is generating 0.1799% of daily returns assuming 1.1728% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 10% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Carrefour, and 97% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carrefour is expected to generate 1.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Carrefour Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Carrefour Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.22 90 days 14.22 
about 12.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carrefour to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.83 (This Carrefour SA probability density function shows the probability of Carrefour Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carrefour has a beta of 0.0926 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Carrefour average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Carrefour SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Carrefour SA has an alpha of 0.1341, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Carrefour Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carrefour

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carrefour SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0614.2315.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7313.9015.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5514.7215.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5714.0114.45
Details

Carrefour Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carrefour is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carrefour's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carrefour SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carrefour within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Carrefour Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carrefour Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carrefour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carrefour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding645.8 M
Short Term Investments322 M

Carrefour Fundamentals Growth

Carrefour Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Carrefour, and Carrefour fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Carrefour Stock performance.

About Carrefour Performance

By examining Carrefour's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Carrefour's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Carrefour is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Carrefour is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on HM exchange.

Things to note about Carrefour SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carrefour for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Carrefour SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Carrefour's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Carrefour's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Carrefour's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Carrefour's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Carrefour's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Carrefour's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Carrefour's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Carrefour's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Carrefour's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Carrefour's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Carrefour's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Carrefour Stock

Carrefour financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carrefour Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carrefour with respect to the benefits of owning Carrefour security.