Collective Audience Stock Performance
| CAUD Stock | 0.01 0.00 0.000002% |
Collective Audience holds a performance score of 28 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 95.0, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Collective Audience will likely underperform. Use Collective Audience potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to analyze future returns on Collective Audience.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Strong
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Collective Audience are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Collective Audience exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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Collective Audience Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 0.35 in Collective Audience on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 0.65 from holding Collective Audience or generate 185.71% return on investment over 90 days. Collective Audience is currently generating 95.3335% in daily expected returns and assumes 266.645% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Collective, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Collective Audience Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Collective Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 54.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Collective Audience to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.19 (This Collective Audience probability density function shows the probability of Collective Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Collective Audience will likely underperform. In addition to that Collective Audience has an alpha of 553.1278, implying that it can generate a 553.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Collective Audience Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Collective Audience
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Collective Audience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Collective Audience's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Collective Audience Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Collective Audience is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Collective Audience's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Collective Audience, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Collective Audience within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 553.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Collective Audience Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Collective Audience for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Collective Audience can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Collective Audience is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Collective Audience has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Collective Audience appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Collective Audience has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.9 M. | |
| Collective Audience generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Collective Audience has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kiwis Advised To Stock Up On Silver Bullets Werewolf Strikes Planned For 2026 - Scoop - New Zealand News |
Collective Audience Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Collective Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Collective Audience's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Collective Audience's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 612.2 K |
Collective Audience Fundamentals Growth
Collective Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Collective Audience, and Collective Audience fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Collective Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.81 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.35 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 200 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.62 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.55 X | ||||
| Revenue | 12.14 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.9 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (3.06 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (4.58 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.95 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.32) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.93 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.88) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 12.23 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (40 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (4.39 M) | ||||
About Collective Audience Performance
By analyzing Collective Audience's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Collective Audience's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Collective Audience has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Collective Audience has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (5.29) | (5.03) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.12) | (1.06) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.43) | (0.45) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.83) | (1.74) |
Things to note about Collective Audience performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Collective Audience for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Collective Audience help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Collective Audience is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Collective Audience has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Collective Audience appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Collective Audience has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.9 M. | |
| Collective Audience generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Collective Audience has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kiwis Advised To Stock Up On Silver Bullets Werewolf Strikes Planned For 2026 - Scoop - New Zealand News |
- Analyzing Collective Audience's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Collective Audience's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Collective Audience's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Collective Audience's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Collective Audience's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Collective Audience's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Collective Audience's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Collective Stock analysis
When running Collective Audience's price analysis, check to measure Collective Audience's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Collective Audience is operating at the current time. Most of Collective Audience's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Collective Audience's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Collective Audience's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Collective Audience to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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