Carnival Stock Performance
| CCL Stock | USD 31.15 2.43 8.46% |
Carnival has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.82, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carnival will likely underperform. Carnival right now shows a risk of 2.95%. Please confirm Carnival semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Carnival will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Carnival are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating fundamental indicators, Carnival may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Carnival Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,883 in Carnival on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 232.00 from holding Carnival or generate 8.05% return on investment over 90 days. Carnival is generating 0.1695% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.9513% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Carnival, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Carnival Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Carnival Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 31.15 | 90 days | 31.15 | about 10.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carnival to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.43 (This Carnival probability density function shows the probability of Carnival Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carnival will likely underperform. Additionally Carnival has an alpha of 0.066, implying that it can generate a 0.066 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Carnival Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carnival
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carnival. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carnival's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carnival Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carnival is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carnival's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carnival, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carnival within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Carnival Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carnival for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carnival can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carnival has 27.99 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.21, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Carnival has a current ratio of 0.64, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Carnival to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 76.0% of Carnival shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Carnival Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carnival Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carnival's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carnival's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Carnival Fundamentals Growth
Carnival Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Carnival, and Carnival fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Carnival Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0556 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 63.72 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.24 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 5.36 X | |||
| Price To Book | 3.07 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.49 X | |||
| Revenue | 26.62 B | |||
| EBITDA | 6.91 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.93 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 5.44 X | |||
| Total Debt | 27.99 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 4.21 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.36 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 6.22 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.02 X | |||
| Total Asset | 51.69 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 4.82 B | |||
| Current Asset | 1.69 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 7.07 B | |||
About Carnival Performance
By examining Carnival's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Carnival's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Carnival is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Carnival Corporation plc operates as a leisure travel company. Carnival Corporation plc was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Carnival Corp operates under Travel Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 40000 people.Things to note about Carnival performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carnival for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Carnival help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carnival has 27.99 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.21, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Carnival has a current ratio of 0.64, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Carnival to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 76.0% of Carnival shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
- Analyzing Carnival's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Carnival's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Carnival's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Carnival's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Carnival's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Carnival's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Carnival's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. For more information on how to buy Carnival Stock please use our How to buy in Carnival Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carnival. Projected growth potential of Carnival fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Carnival assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Carnival requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Carnival's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Carnival's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Carnival's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carnival's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carnival should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Carnival's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.