NELLY GROUP (Germany) Performance

CD20 Stock  EUR 5.56  0.22  3.81%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.42, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NELLY GROUP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NELLY GROUP is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, NELLY GROUP AB has a negative expected return of -0.51%. Please make sure to verify NELLY GROUP's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if NELLY GROUP AB performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NELLY GROUP AB has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:10
Ex Dividend Date
2024-12-13
Last Split Date
2020-12-28
1
Why analysts raise outlook for Nelly Group AB stock - Quarterly Investment Review Long-Term Safe Return Strategies - Newser
12/04/2025
2
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Nelly Group AB After Shares Rise 25 percent - simplywall.st
12/18/2025
3
Qliro extends enterprise agreement with Lyko - marketscreener.com
02/03/2026
4
Nelly CEO Helena Karlinder-stlundh Increases Shareholding During Earnings Report Slump - marketscreener.com
02/20/2026
  

NELLY GROUP Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  872.00  in NELLY GROUP AB on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (316.00) from holding NELLY GROUP AB or give up 36.24% of portfolio value over 90 days. NELLY GROUP AB is producing return of less than zero assuming 6.4493% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 57% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than NELLY GROUP, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NELLY GROUP is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 per unit of volatility.

NELLY GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NELLY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.56 90 days 5.56 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NELLY GROUP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This NELLY GROUP AB probability density function shows the probability of NELLY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NELLY GROUP has a beta of 0.42 suggesting as returns on the market go up, NELLY GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NELLY GROUP AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NELLY GROUP AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NELLY GROUP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NELLY GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NELLY GROUP AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.285.5912.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.275.3411.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.617.0613.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.565.565.56
Details

NELLY GROUP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NELLY GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NELLY GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NELLY GROUP AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NELLY GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
2.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

NELLY GROUP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NELLY GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NELLY GROUP AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NELLY GROUP AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NELLY GROUP AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
NELLY GROUP AB is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nelly CEO Helena Karlinder-stlundh Increases Shareholding During Earnings Report Slump - marketscreener.com

NELLY GROUP Fundamentals Growth

NELLY Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NELLY GROUP, and NELLY GROUP fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NELLY Stock performance.

About NELLY GROUP Performance

By analyzing NELLY GROUP's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NELLY GROUP's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NELLY GROUP has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NELLY GROUP has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Nelly Group AB operates as a fashion company in Sweden, rest of Nordics, Germany, and the Netherlands. Nelly Group AB was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Bors, Sweden. NELLY GROUP is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about NELLY GROUP AB performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NELLY GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NELLY GROUP AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NELLY GROUP AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NELLY GROUP AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
NELLY GROUP AB is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nelly CEO Helena Karlinder-stlundh Increases Shareholding During Earnings Report Slump - marketscreener.com
Evaluating NELLY GROUP's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NELLY GROUP's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NELLY GROUP's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NELLY GROUP's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NELLY GROUP's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NELLY GROUP's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NELLY GROUP's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NELLY GROUP's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NELLY GROUP's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NELLY GROUP's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NELLY GROUP's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for NELLY Stock analysis

When running NELLY GROUP's price analysis, check to measure NELLY GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NELLY GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of NELLY GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NELLY GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NELLY GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NELLY GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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