CA Modas (Brazil) Performance
| CEAB3 Stock | BRL 11.26 0.11 0.97% |
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.35, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CA Modas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CA Modas is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CA Modas SA has a negative expected return of -0.51%. Please make sure to confirm CA Modas' coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if CA Modas SA performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days CA Modas SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.5 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -571.3 M |
CEAB3 |
CA Modas Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,595 in CA Modas SA on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (469.00) from holding CA Modas SA or give up 29.4% of portfolio value over 90 days. CA Modas SA is generating negative expected returns and assumes 4.0276% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 36% of stocks are less volatile than CEAB3, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
CA Modas Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of CEAB3 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.26 | 90 days | 11.26 | about 85.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CA Modas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.88 (This CA Modas SA probability density function shows the probability of CEAB3 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CA Modas has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CA Modas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CA Modas SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CA Modas SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CA Modas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CA Modas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CA Modas SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CA Modas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CA Modas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CA Modas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CA Modas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CA Modas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
CA Modas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CA Modas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CA Modas SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CA Modas SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CA Modas SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CA Modas SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CA Modas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CEAB3 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CA Modas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CA Modas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 308 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
CA Modas Fundamentals Growth
CEAB3 Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CA Modas, and CA Modas fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CEAB3 Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0205 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0106 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 3.7 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 306.28 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 236.05 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.26 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.11 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.15 B | |||
| EBITDA | 817.3 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 977.58 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 2.85 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.6 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.16 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.08 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 480.79 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.79 X | |||
| Total Asset | 8.67 B | |||
About CA Modas Performance
Assessing CA Modas' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into CA Modas' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the CA Modas is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
CA Modas S.A. operates a chain of retail fashion stores in Europe, Latin America, and Asia. The company was founded in 1841 and is based in Barueri, Brazil. CEA MODAS operates under Specialty Retail classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 14000 people.Things to note about CA Modas SA performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about CA Modas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CA Modas SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CA Modas SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CA Modas SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CA Modas SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing CA Modas' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CA Modas' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining CA Modas' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating CA Modas' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CA Modas' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CA Modas' stock. These opinions can provide insight into CA Modas' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for CEAB3 Stock Analysis
When running CA Modas' price analysis, check to measure CA Modas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CA Modas is operating at the current time. Most of CA Modas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CA Modas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CA Modas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CA Modas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.