Challenger (Australia) Performance

CGFPC Preferred Stock   102.30  0.06  0.06%   
Challenger has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0038, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Challenger's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Challenger is expected to be smaller as well. Challenger right now shows a risk of 0.16%. Please confirm Challenger sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to decide if Challenger will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Challenger are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Challenger is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

Challenger Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,137  in Challenger on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  93.00  from holding Challenger or generate 0.92% return on investment over 90 days. Challenger is generating 0.0154% of daily returns and assumes 0.1636% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 1% of preferred stocks are less volatile than Challenger, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Challenger is expected to generate 3.65 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 4.68 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Challenger Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Challenger Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 102.30 90 days 102.30 
about 5.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Challenger to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.64 (This Challenger probability density function shows the probability of Challenger Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Challenger has a beta of 0.0038 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Challenger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Challenger will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Challenger has an alpha of 0.0055, implying that it can generate a 0.005476 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Challenger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Challenger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Challenger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Challenger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Challenger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Challenger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Challenger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Challenger, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Challenger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Things to note about Challenger performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Challenger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Preferred Stock alerts and notifications screener for Challenger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Challenger's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Challenger's preferred stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Challenger's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Challenger's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Challenger's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Challenger's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Challenger's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Challenger's preferred stock. These opinions can provide insight into Challenger's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Challenger's preferred stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Challenger's preferred stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Challenger Preferred Stock analysis

When running Challenger's price analysis, check to measure Challenger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Challenger is operating at the current time. Most of Challenger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Challenger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Challenger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Challenger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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