Cm Modity Index Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CMCAX Fund  USD 67.61  1.36  2.05%   
The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cm Commodity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cm Commodity is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cm Modity Index are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Cm Commodity may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio0.9500
  

Cm Commodity Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,337  in Cm Modity Index on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  424.00  from holding Cm Modity Index or generate 6.69% return on investment over 90 days. Cm Modity Index is currently producing 0.1113% returns and takes up 0.8186% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than CMCAX, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cm Commodity is expected to generate 1.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Cm Commodity Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
67.61
Please note that Cm Commodity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Cm Modity Index owns a latest Real Value of $67.24 per share. The recent price of the fund is $67.61. We determine the value of Cm Modity Index from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, in the future, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will grow together.
Since Cm Commodity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CMCAX Mutual Fund. However, Cm Commodity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  67.61 Real  67.24 Hype  67.61 Naive  67.28
The intrinsic value of Cm Commodity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Cm Commodity's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
67.24
Real Value
68.06
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Cm Modity Index helps investors to forecast how CMCAX mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Cm Commodity more accurately as focusing exclusively on Cm Commodity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.7865.2368.67
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.7967.6168.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
66.4667.2868.10
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Cm Modity Index extending back to December 31, 2010. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Cm Commodity stands at 67.61, as last reported on the 5th of February, with the highest price reaching 67.61 and the lowest price hitting 67.61 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Cm Commodity Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CMCAX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 67.61 90 days 67.61 
nearly 4.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cm Commodity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.14 (This Cm Modity Index probability density function shows the probability of CMCAX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cm Commodity has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cm Commodity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cm Modity Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cm Modity Index has an alpha of 0.0754, implying that it can generate a 0.0754 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cm Commodity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cm Commodity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cm Modity Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.7967.6168.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.4267.2468.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.4667.2868.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.7865.2368.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cm Commodity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cm Commodity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cm Commodity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cm Modity Index.

Cm Commodity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cm Commodity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cm Commodity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cm Modity Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cm Commodity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Cm Commodity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cm Commodity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cm Modity Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 44.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Cm Commodity Fundamentals Growth

CMCAX Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cm Commodity, and Cm Commodity fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CMCAX Mutual Fund performance.

About Cm Commodity Performance

Evaluating Cm Commodity's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Cm Commodity has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cm Commodity has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in instruments that derive their value from the performance of the UBS Constant Maturity Commodity Total Return Index, and in bonds, debt securities and other fixed income instruments issued by various U.S. public- or private-sector entities. The CMCI is a rules-based, composite benchmark index diversified across 29 commodity components from the following five sectors energy, precious metals, industrial metals, agriculture and livestock.

Things to note about Cm Modity Index performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cm Commodity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Cm Modity Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 44.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Cm Commodity's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cm Commodity's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Cm Commodity's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cm Commodity's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cm Commodity's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cm Commodity's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cm Commodity's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cm Commodity's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Cm Commodity's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cm Commodity's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cm Commodity's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in CMCAX Mutual Fund

Cm Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether CMCAX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CMCAX with respect to the benefits of owning Cm Commodity security.
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