Cheetah Mobile Stock Performance

CMCM Stock  USD 5.98  0.27  4.32%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.93, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cheetah Mobile will likely underperform. At this point, Cheetah Mobile has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to confirm Cheetah Mobile's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Cheetah Mobile performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cheetah Mobile has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.32)
Five Day Return
(3.70)
Year To Date Return
(4.47)
Ten Year Return
(91.77)
All Time Return
(91.52)
Last Split Factor
1:5
Dividend Date
2020-07-09
Ex Dividend Date
2020-06-22
Last Split Date
2022-09-02
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Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-34.1 M

Cheetah Mobile Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  739.00  in Cheetah Mobile on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (141.00) from holding Cheetah Mobile or give up 19.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cheetah Mobile is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.9015% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 44% of stocks are less volatile than Cheetah, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cheetah Mobile is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.41 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Cheetah Mobile Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cheetah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.98 90 days 5.98 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheetah Mobile to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Cheetah Mobile probability density function shows the probability of Cheetah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.93 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cheetah Mobile will likely underperform. Additionally Cheetah Mobile has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cheetah Mobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheetah Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheetah Mobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cheetah Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.775.6610.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.427.3112.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.345.2310.11
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.349.1610.17
Details

Cheetah Mobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheetah Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheetah Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheetah Mobile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheetah Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.93
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Cheetah Mobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheetah Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheetah Mobile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheetah Mobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cheetah Mobile has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 806.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (601.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 801.43 M.
Cheetah Mobile currently holds about 1.85 B in cash with (238.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 64.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Cheetah Mobile has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cheetah Mobiles Fu Sheng AI Enables Machines to Revolve Around Humans Identify the Right Application Scenarios and Work Backwards Caixin Interview -

Cheetah Mobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheetah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheetah Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheetah Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding601.2 K
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Cheetah Mobile Fundamentals Growth

Cheetah Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cheetah Mobile, and Cheetah Mobile fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cheetah Stock performance.

About Cheetah Mobile Performance

By examining Cheetah Mobile's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cheetah Mobile's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cheetah Mobile is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 95.03  90.28 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.15)(0.14)
Return On Capital Employed(0.21)(0.20)
Return On Assets(0.13)(0.12)
Return On Equity(0.37)(0.35)

Things to note about Cheetah Mobile performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheetah Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheetah Mobile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheetah Mobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cheetah Mobile has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 806.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (601.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 801.43 M.
Cheetah Mobile currently holds about 1.85 B in cash with (238.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 64.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Cheetah Mobile has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cheetah Mobiles Fu Sheng AI Enables Machines to Revolve Around Humans Identify the Right Application Scenarios and Work Backwards Caixin Interview -
Evaluating Cheetah Mobile's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cheetah Mobile's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cheetah Mobile's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cheetah Mobile's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cheetah Mobile's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cheetah Mobile's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cheetah Mobile's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cheetah Mobile's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cheetah Mobile's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cheetah Mobile's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cheetah Mobile's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cheetah Mobile is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheetah Mobile's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheetah Mobile's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheetah Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cheetah Mobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
To learn how to invest in Cheetah Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheetah Mobile guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Cheetah diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheetah Mobile. Projected growth potential of Cheetah fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cheetah Mobile data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(2.09)
Revenue Per Share
35.39
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.496
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Understanding Cheetah Mobile requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cheetah's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Cheetah Mobile's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cheetah Mobile's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cheetah Mobile's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cheetah Mobile should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cheetah Mobile's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.