Cmc Metals Stock Performance

CMCXF Stock  USD 0.10  0.00  0.00%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -2.99, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CMC Metals are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, CMC Metals is expected to outperform it. At this point, CMC Metals has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to confirm CMC Metals' variance, potential upside, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to decide if CMC Metals performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CMC Metals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
  

CMC Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14.00  in CMC Metals on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4.00) from holding CMC Metals or give up 28.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. CMC Metals is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 9.7219% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 87% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than CMC, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon CMC Metals is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 12.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

CMC Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CMC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.10 
about 71.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CMC Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.84 (This CMC Metals probability density function shows the probability of CMC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CMC Metals has a beta of -2.99 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding CMC Metals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, CMC Metals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally CMC Metals has an alpha of 0.3847, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CMC Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CMC Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMC Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CMC Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.109.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.099.81
Details

CMC Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CMC Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CMC Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CMC Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CMC Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

CMC Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CMC Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CMC Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CMC Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CMC Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CMC Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CMC Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
CMC Metals has accumulated about 2.24 M in cash with (3.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CMC Metals Fundamentals Growth

CMC Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CMC Metals, and CMC Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CMC Pink Sheet performance.

About CMC Metals Performance

By analyzing CMC Metals' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CMC Metals' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CMC Metals has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CMC Metals has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
CMC Metals Ltd. engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties in Canada and the United States. CMC Metals Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Cmc Metals operates under Other Precious Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about CMC Metals performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CMC Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for CMC Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CMC Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CMC Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CMC Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CMC Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
CMC Metals has accumulated about 2.24 M in cash with (3.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating CMC Metals' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CMC Metals' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing CMC Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CMC Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CMC Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CMC Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CMC Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CMC Metals' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into CMC Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CMC Metals' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CMC Metals' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running CMC Metals' price analysis, check to measure CMC Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CMC Metals is operating at the current time. Most of CMC Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CMC Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CMC Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CMC Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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