Context Therapeutics Stock Performance
| CNTX Stock | USD 2.41 -0.03 -1.23% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
4 · Mild
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Context Therapeutics is weaker than 4% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. This score becomes more informative when compared with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Context Therapeutics has delivered strong risk-adjusted returns over recent months, suggesting the current trend may have further room to run. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -3.32 | Five Day Return -1.27 | Year To Date Return 58.5 | Ten Year Return -54.31 | All Time Return -54.31 |
1 | Acquisition by Martin Lehr of 815000 shares of Context Therapeutics at 2.32 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/19/2026 |
2 | Acquisition by Minai-azary Jennifer Lynn of 275000 shares of Context Therapeutics at 2.32 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/23/2026 |
3 | Context Therapeutics Inc. Receives Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Brokerages - Market Beat | 03/03/2026 |
4 | Acquisition by Walker Luke Nathaniel of 19315 shares of Context Therapeutics at 2.43 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/09/2026 |
5 | Context Therapeutics Releases Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By 0.04 EPS | 03/23/2026 |
6 | Analysts Updated EPS Estimates for March 24 th | 03/24/2026 |
7 | Context Therapeutics Price Target Raised to 7.00 | 03/27/2026 |
8 | Context Therapeutics Announces CTIM-76 Receives FDA Fast Track Designation for the Treatment of Platinum-Resistant Ovarian Cancer | 04/02/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Martin Lehr of 52680 shares of Context Therapeutics at 7.14 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/15/2026 |
10 | Acquisition by Martin Lehr of 7027 shares of Context Therapeutics at 0.6974 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/21/2026 |
11 | Positive Signs As Multiple Insiders Buy Context Therapeutics Stock | 04/27/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 217.00 in Context Therapeutics on February 7, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 24.00 , a return of 11.06% over 90 days. Context Therapeutics is currently generating a 0.3097% daily expected return and carries 5.31% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Context Therapeutics exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 53% of comparable stocks, and CNTX has trailed 94% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. This pattern serves as a foundation for forecasting, even though some stocks exhibit persistent deviations. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk requiring compensation through extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.41 | 90 days | 2.41 | about 68.54 % |
According to our probability model, the chance of Context Therapeutics moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.54 %. Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (This distribution highlights the price region that has carried the highest probability weight for Context Stock over a 90-day horizon).
Context Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Context Therapeutics
Forecasting Context Therapeutics involves applying various models to estimate future stock price behavior. Despite uncertainty, systematic forecasting provides investors with structured context for evaluating Context Therapeutics. Comparing results across methods can improve accuracy, even in unpredictable stock markets.The concept of mean reversion suggests that Context Therapeutics' price will eventually return toward its long-run average. Positions sized too aggressively against the trend often suffer sustained losses before reversion occurs in Context Therapeutics. The mean reversion framework for Context Therapeutics is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient.
Primary Risk Indicators
Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity across stock markets including Context Therapeutics. The pattern of corrections and recoveries in Context Therapeutics mirrors the broader stock market experience. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking Context Therapeutics' volatility limits the impact of adverse moves.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Real-time alerts for Context Therapeutics track important stock developments as they happen. Notifications for Context Therapeutics highlight significant technical and fundamental shifts that may signal emerging risks. Each alert is generated from real-time data feeds monitoring Context Therapeutics price action and volume.| Context Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Context Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was -$36.12 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of . | |
| Context Therapeutics currently holds about $42.92 million in cash as of latest reporting with -$26.39 million of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Context Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Positive Signs As Multiple Insiders Buy Context Therapeutics Stock |
Price Density Drivers
Understanding the forces behind Context Therapeutics' price movements requires examining buyer and seller positioning dynamics. These indicators capture key forces that influence Context Therapeutics' near-term price behavior and volatility. Context Therapeutics' indicators related to price density are summarized below for reference.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.19 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66 million |
Context Therapeutics Fundamentals Growth
Investors assess Context Stock by examining Context Therapeutics' underlying financial health and growth trajectory. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence Context Stock. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Context Stock performance across market cycles.
| Current Valuation | 146.36 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 91.88 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -0.38 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Drawdown analysis for Context Therapeutics measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Comparing drawdown severity across periods reveals whether risk characteristics are stable or shifting. Context Therapeutics shows ROE of -46.39%, ROA of -29.79% (TTM) vs -55.0% (last reported).
Context Therapeutics data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Raphi Shpitalnik, Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board