Context Therapeutics Stock Performance

CNTX Stock  USD 2.41  -0.03  -1.23%   
Context Therapeutics's return record is summarized here, from recent weeks to multi-year horizons. Based on the 3 months horizon, Context Therapeutics shows an expected return of 0.31%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
4 · Mild
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Context Therapeutics is weaker than 4% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. This score becomes more informative when compared with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Context Therapeutics has delivered strong risk-adjusted returns over recent months, suggesting the current trend may have further room to run. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-3.32
 Five Day Return
-1.27
 Year To Date Return
58.5
 Ten Year Return
-54.31
 All Time Return
-54.31

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 217.00 in Context Therapeutics on February 7, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 24.00 , a return of 11.06% over 90 days. Context Therapeutics is currently generating a 0.3097% daily expected return and carries 5.31% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Context Therapeutics exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 53% of comparable stocks, and CNTX has trailed 94% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Given a 90-day horizon, CNTX generates 5.71 times more return on investment than the market. However, CNTX is 5.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.06% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. This pattern serves as a foundation for forecasting, even though some stocks exhibit persistent deviations. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk requiring compensation through extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
2.41 90 days 2.41
about 68.54 %
According to our probability model, the chance of Context Therapeutics moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.54 %. Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (This distribution highlights the price region that has carried the highest probability weight for Context Stock over a 90-day horizon).
Given a 90-day horizon, Context Therapeutics has a beta of -0.12 suggesting that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Context Therapeutics tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Context Therapeutics tends to outperform the market. Additionally, Context Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.1552, implying that it can generate a 0.1552 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Context Therapeutics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Context Therapeutics

Forecasting Context Therapeutics involves applying various models to estimate future stock price behavior. Despite uncertainty, systematic forecasting provides investors with structured context for evaluating Context Therapeutics. Comparing results across methods can improve accuracy, even in unpredictable stock markets.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Context Therapeutics' price will eventually return toward its long-run average. Positions sized too aggressively against the trend often suffer sustained losses before reversion occurs in Context Therapeutics. The mean reversion framework for Context Therapeutics is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
0.122.437.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
0.101.977.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.307.61
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Context Therapeutics's financial and valuation profile is evaluated here relative to direct competitors. Context Therapeutics's multiples and operating metrics gain context when measured against direct competitors. Growth rates, profitability, and capital efficiency relative to peers frame Context Therapeutics' competitive position.

Primary Risk Indicators

Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity across stock markets including Context Therapeutics. The pattern of corrections and recoveries in Context Therapeutics mirrors the broader stock market experience. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking Context Therapeutics' volatility limits the impact of adverse moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Investor Alerts and Insights

Real-time alerts for Context Therapeutics track important stock developments as they happen. Notifications for Context Therapeutics highlight significant technical and fundamental shifts that may signal emerging risks. Each alert is generated from real-time data feeds monitoring Context Therapeutics price action and volume.
Context Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Context Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was -$36.12 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of .
Context Therapeutics currently holds about $42.92 million in cash as of latest reporting with -$26.39 million of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Context Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Positive Signs As Multiple Insiders Buy Context Therapeutics Stock

Price Density Drivers

Understanding the forces behind Context Therapeutics' price movements requires examining buyer and seller positioning dynamics. These indicators capture key forces that influence Context Therapeutics' near-term price behavior and volatility. Context Therapeutics' indicators related to price density are summarized below for reference.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.19 million
Cash And Short Term Investments66 million

Context Therapeutics Fundamentals Growth

Investors assess Context Stock by examining Context Therapeutics' underlying financial health and growth trajectory. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence Context Stock. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Context Stock performance across market cycles.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Context Therapeutics measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Comparing drawdown severity across periods reveals whether risk characteristics are stable or shifting. Context Therapeutics shows ROE of -46.39%, ROA of -29.79% (TTM) vs -55.0% (last reported).

Context Therapeutics data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Raphi Shpitalnik, Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board