Compass Gold Stock Performance

COGDF Stock  USD 0.16  0.01  6.67%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.63, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Compass Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Compass Gold is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Compass Gold has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to confirm Compass Gold's jensen alpha and the relationship between the kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to decide if Compass Gold performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Compass Gold has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow3.8 M
Free Cash Flow-1.1 M
  

Compass Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  20.00  in Compass Gold on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4.00) from holding Compass Gold or give up 20.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. Compass Gold is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 4.7123% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 42% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Compass, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Compass Gold is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Compass Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Compass Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.16 90 days 0.16 
about 77.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compass Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.91 (This Compass Gold probability density function shows the probability of Compass Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Compass Gold has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Compass Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compass Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compass Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Compass Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compass Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compass Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compass Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.164.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.144.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.184.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.120.180.23
Details

Compass Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compass Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compass Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compass Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compass Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Compass Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compass Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compass Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compass Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compass Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Compass Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Compass Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Compass Gold has accumulated about 897.27 K in cash with (1.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Compass Gold Fundamentals Growth

Compass Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Compass Gold, and Compass Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Compass Pink Sheet performance.

About Compass Gold Performance

By analyzing Compass Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Compass Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Compass Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Compass Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Compass Gold Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Mali. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Compass Gold is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Compass Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compass Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Compass Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compass Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compass Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Compass Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Compass Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Compass Gold has accumulated about 897.27 K in cash with (1.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Compass Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Compass Gold's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Compass Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Compass Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Compass Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Compass Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Compass Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Compass Gold's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Compass Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Compass Gold's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Compass Gold's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Compass Pink Sheet analysis

When running Compass Gold's price analysis, check to measure Compass Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compass Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Compass Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compass Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compass Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compass Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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