Cogstate Limited Stock Performance

COGZF Stock  USD 1.45  0.09  6.62%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0747, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cogstate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cogstate is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Cogstate Limited has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to confirm Cogstate's jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Cogstate Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cogstate Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow23.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.5 M
  

Cogstate Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  183.00  in Cogstate Limited on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (38.00) from holding Cogstate Limited or give up 20.77% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cogstate Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 4.6716% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 41% of traded otc stocks are less volatile than Cogstate, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cogstate is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Cogstate Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cogstate OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.45 90 days 1.45 
about 89.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cogstate to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.44 (This Cogstate Limited probability density function shows the probability of Cogstate OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cogstate Limited has a beta of -0.0747 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cogstate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cogstate Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cogstate Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cogstate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cogstate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cogstate Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.456.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.346.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.416.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.411.571.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cogstate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cogstate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cogstate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cogstate Limited.

Cogstate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cogstate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cogstate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cogstate Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cogstate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Cogstate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cogstate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cogstate Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cogstate Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cogstate Limited may become a speculative penny stock
Cogstate Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cogstate Fundamentals Growth

Cogstate OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cogstate, and Cogstate fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cogstate OTC Stock performance.

About Cogstate Performance

By analyzing Cogstate's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cogstate's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cogstate has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cogstate has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Cogstate Limited, a neuroscience technology company, provides computerized cognitive tests and electronic clinical outcome assessment solutions. Cogstate Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Melbourne, Australia. Cogstate operates under Health Information Services classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 380 people.

Things to note about Cogstate Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cogstate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cogstate Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cogstate Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cogstate Limited may become a speculative penny stock
Cogstate Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Cogstate's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cogstate's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cogstate's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cogstate's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cogstate's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cogstate's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cogstate's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cogstate's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cogstate's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cogstate's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cogstate's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Cogstate OTC Stock analysis

When running Cogstate's price analysis, check to measure Cogstate's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogstate is operating at the current time. Most of Cogstate's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogstate's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogstate's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogstate to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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