ConocoPhillips (Mexico) Performance

COP Stock  MXN 1,895  8.00  0.42%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ConocoPhillips holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ConocoPhillips are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ConocoPhillips is likely to outperform the market. Please check ConocoPhillips' downside variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether ConocoPhillips' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ConocoPhillips are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, ConocoPhillips showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

ConocoPhillips Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  162,000  in ConocoPhillips on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  27,500  from holding ConocoPhillips or generate 16.98% return on investment over 90 days. ConocoPhillips is generating 0.2761% of daily returns assuming 1.9487% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 17% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than ConocoPhillips, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ConocoPhillips is expected to generate 2.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

ConocoPhillips Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ConocoPhillips Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,895 90 days 1,895 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ConocoPhillips to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This ConocoPhillips probability density function shows the probability of ConocoPhillips Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ConocoPhillips has a beta of -0.19 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ConocoPhillips are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ConocoPhillips is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ConocoPhillips has an alpha of 0.2714, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ConocoPhillips Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ConocoPhillips

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ConocoPhillips. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,8931,8951,897
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4811,4832,084
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,8951,8971,899
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,4221,8872,352
Details

ConocoPhillips Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ConocoPhillips is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ConocoPhillips' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ConocoPhillips, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ConocoPhillips within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
92.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

ConocoPhillips Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ConocoPhillips for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ConocoPhillips can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

ConocoPhillips Fundamentals Growth

ConocoPhillips Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ConocoPhillips, and ConocoPhillips fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ConocoPhillips Stock performance.

About ConocoPhillips Performance

Evaluating ConocoPhillips' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if ConocoPhillips has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ConocoPhillips has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas , and natural gas liquids worldwide. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. CONOCOPHILLIPS operates under Oil Gas EP classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 10900 people.

Things to note about ConocoPhillips performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ConocoPhillips for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ConocoPhillips help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating ConocoPhillips' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ConocoPhillips' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ConocoPhillips' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ConocoPhillips' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ConocoPhillips' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ConocoPhillips' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ConocoPhillips' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ConocoPhillips' stock. These opinions can provide insight into ConocoPhillips' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ConocoPhillips' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ConocoPhillips' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis

When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.