Counterpoint Tactical Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CPITX Fund  USD 11.32  0.03  0.27%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Counterpoint Tactical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Counterpoint Tactical is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Counterpoint Tactical Income are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Counterpoint Tactical is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of February 2025
Expense Ratio2.0000
  

Counterpoint Tactical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,118  in Counterpoint Tactical Income on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14.00  from holding Counterpoint Tactical Income or generate 1.25% return on investment over 90 days. Counterpoint Tactical Income is currently producing 0.0205% returns and takes up 0.1171% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Counterpoint, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Counterpoint Tactical is expected to generate 2.94 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 6.33 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Counterpoint Tactical Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.32
Please note that Counterpoint Tactical's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Counterpoint Tactical shows a prevailing Real Value of $10.39 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.32. We determine the value of Counterpoint Tactical from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Counterpoint Tactical is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Counterpoint Mutual Fund. However, Counterpoint Tactical's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.32 Real  10.39 Hype  11.32 Naive  11.31
The intrinsic value of Counterpoint Tactical's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Counterpoint Tactical's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.39
Real Value
12.45
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Counterpoint Tactical Income helps investors to forecast how Counterpoint mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Counterpoint Tactical more accurately as focusing exclusively on Counterpoint Tactical's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2311.2811.34
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2011.3211.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.2011.3111.43
Details

Counterpoint Tactical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Counterpoint Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.32 90 days 11.32 
about 6.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Counterpoint Tactical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.12 (This Counterpoint Tactical Income probability density function shows the probability of Counterpoint Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Counterpoint Tactical has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Counterpoint Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Counterpoint Tactical Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Counterpoint Tactical Income has an alpha of 0.0028, implying that it can generate a 0.002802 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Counterpoint Tactical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Counterpoint Tactical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Counterpoint Tactical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Counterpoint Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2011.3211.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2710.3912.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2011.3111.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2311.2811.34
Details

Counterpoint Tactical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Counterpoint Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Counterpoint Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Counterpoint Tactical Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Counterpoint Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.52

Counterpoint Tactical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Counterpoint Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Counterpoint Tactical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 15.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Counterpoint Tactical Fundamentals Growth

Counterpoint Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Counterpoint Tactical, and Counterpoint Tactical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Counterpoint Mutual Fund performance.

About Counterpoint Tactical Performance

Evaluating Counterpoint Tactical's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Counterpoint Tactical has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Counterpoint Tactical has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in mutual funds, closed-end funds and passively and actively managed exchange traded funds that invest in high yield instruments obligations issued or guaranteed by the United States government, its agencies or instrumentalities, including U.S. treasuries and cash and cash equivalents . Counterpoint Tactical is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Counterpoint Tactical performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Counterpoint Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Counterpoint Tactical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 15.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Counterpoint Tactical's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Counterpoint Tactical's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Counterpoint Tactical's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Counterpoint Tactical's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Counterpoint Tactical's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Counterpoint Tactical's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Counterpoint Tactical's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Counterpoint Mutual Fund

Counterpoint Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Counterpoint Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Counterpoint with respect to the benefits of owning Counterpoint Tactical security.
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