Card Factory Plc Stock Performance

CRFCF Stock  USD 0.92  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.79, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Card Factory are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Card Factory is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Card Factory plc has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to confirm Card Factory's information ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Card Factory plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Card Factory plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
  

Card Factory Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  129.00  in Card Factory plc on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (37.00) from holding Card Factory plc or give up 28.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Card Factory plc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.3323% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 29% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Card, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Card Factory is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Card Factory Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Card Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.92 90 days 0.92 
about 79.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Card Factory to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.77 (This Card Factory plc probability density function shows the probability of Card Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Card Factory plc has a beta of -0.79 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Card Factory are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Card Factory plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Card Factory plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Card Factory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Card Factory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Card Factory plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Card Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.924.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.854.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.874.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.701.001.29
Details

Card Factory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Card Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Card Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Card Factory plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Card Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Card Factory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Card Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Card Factory plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Card Factory plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Card Factory plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Card Factory plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Card Factory plc has accumulated 85.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Card Factory plc has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Card Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Card Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Card Factory plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Card to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Card Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 68.0% of Card Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Card Factory Fundamentals Growth

Card Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Card Factory, and Card Factory fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Card Pink Sheet performance.

About Card Factory Performance

By analyzing Card Factory's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Card Factory's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Card Factory has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Card Factory has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Card Factory plc operates as a specialist retailer of greeting cards in the United Kingdom. Card Factory plc was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Wakefield, the United Kingdom. CARD FACTORY operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 8000 people.

Things to note about Card Factory plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Card Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Card Factory plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Card Factory plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Card Factory plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Card Factory plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Card Factory plc has accumulated 85.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Card Factory plc has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Card Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Card Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Card Factory plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Card to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Card Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 68.0% of Card Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Card Factory's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Card Factory's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Card Factory's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Card Factory's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Card Factory's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Card Factory's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Card Factory's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Card Factory's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Card Factory's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Card Factory's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Card Factory's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Card Factory's price analysis, check to measure Card Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Card Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Card Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Card Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Card Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Card Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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