Crescent Steel (Pakistan) Performance

CSAP-CFEB   140.22  5.28  3.91%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Crescent Steel holds a performance score of 27. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Crescent Steel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Crescent Steel is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Crescent Steel's mean deviation, downside deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Crescent Steel's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Crescent Steel are ranked lower than 27 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, Crescent Steel reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Crescent Steel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,205  in Crescent Steel on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,817  from holding Crescent Steel or generate 37.4% return on investment over 90 days. Crescent Steel is generating 0.8235% of daily returns and assumes 2.3474% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Crescent, and 84% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crescent Steel is expected to generate 3.11 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.35 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Crescent Steel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Crescent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 140.22 90 days 140.22 
about 1.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crescent Steel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.09 (This Crescent Steel probability density function shows the probability of Crescent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crescent Steel has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crescent Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crescent Steel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crescent Steel has an alpha of 0.802, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crescent Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crescent Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Crescent Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crescent Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crescent Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crescent Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crescent Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.80
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
11.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.32

Things to note about Crescent Steel performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crescent Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Crescent Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Crescent Steel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Crescent Steel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Crescent Steel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Crescent Steel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Crescent Steel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Crescent Steel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Crescent Steel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Crescent Steel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Crescent Steel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Crescent Steel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Crescent Steel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Crescent Stock analysis

When running Crescent Steel's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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