Crescent Star (Pakistan) Performance

CSIL Stock   6.78  0.36  5.04%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Crescent Star holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Crescent Star are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Crescent Star is likely to outperform the market. Please check Crescent Star's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Crescent Star's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Crescent Star Insurance are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat sluggish basic indicators, Crescent Star sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Crescent Star Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  538.00  in Crescent Star Insurance on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  140.00  from holding Crescent Star Insurance or generate 26.02% return on investment over 90 days. Crescent Star Insurance is generating 0.6228% of daily returns and assumes 7.2742% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 65% of stocks are less volatile than Crescent, and 88% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crescent Star is expected to generate 9.86 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Crescent Star Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Crescent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.78 90 days 6.78 
about 51.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crescent Star to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.63 (This Crescent Star Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Crescent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crescent Star Insurance has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Crescent Star are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Crescent Star Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Crescent Star Insurance has an alpha of 0.4521, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crescent Star Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crescent Star

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Star Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.346.7814.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.336.6813.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.8511.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.459.5513.65
Details

Crescent Star Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crescent Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crescent Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crescent Star Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crescent Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Crescent Star Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crescent Star for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crescent Star Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crescent Star is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Crescent Star appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

About Crescent Star Performance

By analyzing Crescent Star's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Crescent Star's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Crescent Star has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Crescent Star has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Crescent Star Insurance performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crescent Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Crescent Star Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crescent Star is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Crescent Star appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Evaluating Crescent Star's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Crescent Star's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Crescent Star's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Crescent Star's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Crescent Star's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Crescent Star's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Crescent Star's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Crescent Star's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Crescent Star's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Crescent Star's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Crescent Star's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Crescent Stock analysis

When running Crescent Star's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Star's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Star is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Star's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Star's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Star's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Star to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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