Chevron Corp Stock Performance

CVX Stock  USD 174.03  2.87  1.62%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Chevron Corp holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Chevron Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chevron Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Chevron Corp's jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Chevron Corp's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chevron Corp are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile basic indicators, Chevron Corp showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.62)
Five Day Return
2.39
Year To Date Return
11.63
Ten Year Return
114.22
All Time Return
5.2 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0409
Payout Ratio
0.944
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
7.12
Dividend Date
2026-03-10
 
Chevron Corp dividend paid on 10th of December 2025
12/10/2025
1
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12/31/2025
2
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01/12/2026
3
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01/23/2026
4
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01/26/2026
5
Morgan Stanley Updates Chevron Valuation on Lower Oil Price Assumptions
01/27/2026
6
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01/29/2026
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01/30/2026
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Begin Period Cash Flow7.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-15.9 B
Free Cash Flow16.6 B

Chevron Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  15,097  in Chevron Corp on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,306  from holding Chevron Corp or generate 15.27% return on investment over 90 days. Chevron Corp is generating 0.2433% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4273% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Chevron, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chevron Corp is expected to generate 1.88 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Chevron Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Chevron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 174.03 90 days 174.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chevron Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chevron Corp probability density function shows the probability of Chevron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chevron Corp has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chevron Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chevron Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chevron Corp has an alpha of 0.1956, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Chevron Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chevron Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chevron Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chevron Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
172.40173.83175.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.63190.15191.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
172.21173.64175.07
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
165.81182.21202.25
Details

Chevron Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chevron Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chevron Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chevron Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chevron Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
7.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Chevron Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chevron Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chevron Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of December 2025 Chevron Corp paid $ 1.71 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The First 3 Passive Income Investments I Plan to Make In February

Chevron Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chevron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chevron Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chevron Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Dividends Paid-12.8 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate7.12
Shares Float1.9 B

Chevron Corp Fundamentals Growth

Chevron Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Chevron Corp, and Chevron Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Chevron Stock performance.

About Chevron Corp Performance

Evaluating Chevron Corp's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Chevron Corp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Chevron Corp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 27.91  22.14 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.19 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.15 

Things to note about Chevron Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chevron Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Chevron Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of December 2025 Chevron Corp paid $ 1.71 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The First 3 Passive Income Investments I Plan to Make In February
Evaluating Chevron Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Chevron Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Chevron Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Chevron Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Chevron Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Chevron Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Chevron Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Chevron Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Chevron Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Chevron Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Chevron Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Chevron Stock Analysis

When running Chevron Corp's price analysis, check to measure Chevron Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chevron Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Chevron Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chevron Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chevron Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chevron Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.