First Trust Managed Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CWAIX Fund  USD 20.47  0.02  0.1%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0106, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Managed are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,037  in First Trust Managed on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding First Trust Managed or generate 0.49% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Managed is currently producing 0.0082% returns and takes up 0.09% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Trust is expected to generate 7.79 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 8.3 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

First Trust Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
20.47
Please note that First Trust's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. First Trust Managed shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.82 per share. The current price of the fund is $20.47. Our model computes the value of First Trust Managed from reviewing the entity technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since First Trust is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of First Mutual Fund. However, First Trust's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.47 Real  18.82 Hype  20.47 Naive  20.39
The intrinsic value of First Trust's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence First Trust's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.82
Real Value
22.52
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of First Trust Managed helps investors to forecast how First mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of First Trust more accurately as focusing exclusively on First Trust's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.2720.4220.57
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.3820.4720.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.3020.3920.48
Details

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.47 90 days 20.47 
about 7.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.01 (This First Trust Managed probability density function shows the probability of First Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.0106 suggesting as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Managed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Managed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.3820.4720.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7318.8222.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3020.3920.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.2720.4220.57
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Managed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0027
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.82

About First Trust Performance

Evaluating First Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about First Trust Managed performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for First Trust Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating First Trust's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Trust's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing First Trust's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Trust's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Trust's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Trust's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Trust's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Trust's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into First Trust's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Trust's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Trust's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust security.
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