Catalystwarrington Strategic Program Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CWXCX Fund  USD 8.52  0.03  0.35%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.41, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Catalyst/warrington's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Catalyst/warrington is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Catalystwarrington Strategic Program are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Catalyst/warrington is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of November 2025
Expense Ratio3.0600
  

Catalyst/warrington Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  846.00  in Catalystwarrington Strategic Program on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6.00  from holding Catalystwarrington Strategic Program or generate 0.71% return on investment over 90 days. Catalystwarrington Strategic Program is currently producing 0.0127% returns and takes up 0.4368% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Catalyst/warrington, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst/warrington is expected to generate 4.94 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.72 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Catalyst/warrington Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
8.52
Please note that Catalyst/warrington's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Catalyst/warrington shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.49 per share. The current price of the fund is $8.52. We determine the value of Catalyst/warrington from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Catalyst/warrington is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund. However, Catalyst/warrington's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.52 Real  8.49 Hype  8.52 Naive  8.54
The intrinsic value of Catalyst/warrington's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Catalyst/warrington's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.49
Real Value
8.92
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Catalystwarrington Strategic Program helps investors to forecast how Catalyst/warrington mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Catalyst/warrington more accurately as focusing exclusively on Catalyst/warrington's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.468.538.61
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.098.528.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.118.548.98
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Catalystwarrington Strategic Program extending back to September 03, 2013. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Catalyst/warrington stands at 8.52, as last reported on the 30th of January, with the highest price reaching 8.52 and the lowest price hitting 8.52 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Catalyst/warrington Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.52 90 days 8.52 
about 23.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalyst/warrington to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.94 (This Catalystwarrington Strategic Program probability density function shows the probability of Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst/warrington has a beta of 0.41 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Catalyst/warrington average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalystwarrington Strategic Program will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalystwarrington Strategic Program has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Catalyst/warrington Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalyst/warrington

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalyst/warrington. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catalyst/warrington's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.098.528.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.068.498.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.118.548.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.468.538.61
Details

Catalyst/warrington Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalyst/warrington is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalyst/warrington's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystwarrington Strategic Program, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalyst/warrington within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Catalyst/warrington Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalyst/warrington for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalyst/warrington can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 98.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Catalyst/warrington Fundamentals Growth

Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Catalyst/warrington, and Catalyst/warrington fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund performance.

About Catalyst/warrington Performance

Evaluating Catalyst/warrington's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Catalyst/warrington has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Catalyst/warrington has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by buying and selling short-term options and option spreads on the Standard Poors 500 Index futures and holding cash and cash equivalents, including treasury securities and money market mutual funds. An option spread is a strategy where it buys two different options on the SP, but with different prices or expirations, in order to hedge against declines in the value of the options.

Things to note about Catalyst/warrington performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalyst/warrington for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Catalyst/warrington help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 98.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Catalyst/warrington's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Catalyst/warrington's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Catalyst/warrington's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Catalyst/warrington's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Catalyst/warrington's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Catalyst/warrington's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Catalyst/warrington's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Catalyst/warrington's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Catalyst/warrington's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Catalyst/warrington's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Catalyst/warrington's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund

Catalyst/warrington financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst/warrington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst/warrington with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst/warrington security.
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