Cyanotech Stock Performance

CYAN Stock  USD 0.52  0.11  26.83%   
Cyanotech holds a performance score of 10 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.2, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cyanotech are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Cyanotech is expected to outperform it. Use Cyanotech value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to analyze future returns on Cyanotech.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cyanotech are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, Cyanotech displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:4
Last Split Date
2006-11-06
1
Cyanotech Corp Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Revenue Surge and Margin Expansion ...
11/18/2025
2
Acquisition by Davis Michael A of 13158 shares of Cyanotech at 0.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow707 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-247 K

Cyanotech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  32.00  in Cyanotech on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20.00  from holding Cyanotech or generate 62.5% return on investment over 90 days. Cyanotech is currently generating 2.0006% in daily expected returns and assumes 15.3063% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Cyanotech, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cyanotech is expected to generate 20.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 20.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Cyanotech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cyanotech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.52 90 days 0.52 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cyanotech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Cyanotech probability density function shows the probability of Cyanotech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cyanotech has a beta of -2.2 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cyanotech are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cyanotech is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Cyanotech has an alpha of 1.7946, implying that it can generate a 1.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cyanotech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cyanotech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cyanotech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.5215.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4015.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.4315.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.290.410.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cyanotech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cyanotech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cyanotech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cyanotech.

Cyanotech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cyanotech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cyanotech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cyanotech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cyanotech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Cyanotech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cyanotech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cyanotech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cyanotech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cyanotech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cyanotech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 24.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.2 M.
Cyanotech currently holds about 737 K in cash with (1.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cyanotech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cyanotech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cyanotech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cyanotech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments257 K

Cyanotech Fundamentals Growth

Cyanotech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cyanotech, and Cyanotech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cyanotech Stock performance.

About Cyanotech Performance

By examining Cyanotech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cyanotech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cyanotech is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 147.55  99.26 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.14)(0.12)
Return On Capital Employed(0.17)(0.16)
Return On Assets(0.14)(0.12)
Return On Equity(0.41)(0.39)

Things to note about Cyanotech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cyanotech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cyanotech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cyanotech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cyanotech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cyanotech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 24.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.2 M.
Cyanotech currently holds about 737 K in cash with (1.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Cyanotech's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cyanotech's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cyanotech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cyanotech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cyanotech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cyanotech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cyanotech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cyanotech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cyanotech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cyanotech's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cyanotech's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cyanotech offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cyanotech's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cyanotech Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cyanotech Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cyanotech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
To learn how to invest in Cyanotech Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cyanotech guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cyanotech. If investors know Cyanotech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cyanotech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.54)
Earnings Share
(0.41)
Revenue Per Share
3.505
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.194
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Cyanotech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cyanotech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cyanotech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cyanotech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cyanotech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cyanotech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cyanotech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cyanotech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cyanotech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.