First Trust Exchange Traded Etf Performance

DFII Etf   12.52  1.96  13.54%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.18, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Trust will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Trust Exchange Traded has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the Etf traders. ...more
 
First Trust dividend paid on 2nd of December 2025
12/02/2025
 
First Trust dividend paid on 5th of January 2026
01/05/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,056  in First Trust Exchange Traded on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (657.25) from holding First Trust Exchange Traded or give up 31.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Exchange Traded is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.5543% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.34 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.52 90 days 12.52 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This First Trust Exchange Traded probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.18 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Trust will likely underperform. Additionally First Trust Exchange Traded has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4714.0217.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8613.4116.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.8211.3714.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9317.2819.63
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Exchange Traded, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Trust Exchange generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Trust Exchange has high historical volatility and very poor performance
On 5th of January 2026 First Trust paid 0.2632 per share dividend to its current shareholders

About First Trust Performance

By evaluating First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Trust Exchange generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Trust Exchange has high historical volatility and very poor performance
On 5th of January 2026 First Trust paid 0.2632 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether First Trust Exchange is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if First Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about First Trust Exchange Traded Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about First Trust Exchange Traded Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Exchange Traded. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
First Trust Exchange's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Trust's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since First Trust's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between First Trust's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding First Trust should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.