Dunham Dynamic Macro Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

DNAVX Fund  USD 11.48  0.05  0.43%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dunham Dynamic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dunham Dynamic is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dunham Dynamic Macro are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Dunham Dynamic showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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The first-ever 3x levered bitcoin funds are launching in Europe next week. The timing couldnt be worse. - MarketWatch
11/21/2025
Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio2.0100
  

Dunham Dynamic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,012  in Dunham Dynamic Macro on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  136.00  from holding Dunham Dynamic Macro or generate 13.44% return on investment over 90 days. Dunham Dynamic Macro is currently producing 0.2169% returns and takes up 1.4775% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 13% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Dunham, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Dynamic is expected to generate 1.98 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Dunham Dynamic Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.48
Please note that Dunham Dynamic's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Dunham Dynamic Macro shows a prevailing Real Value of $10.69 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.48. We determine the value of Dunham Dynamic Macro from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Dunham Dynamic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dunham Mutual Fund. However, Dunham Dynamic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.48 Real  10.69 Hype  14.07 Naive  11.31
The intrinsic value of Dunham Dynamic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dunham Dynamic's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.69
Real Value
12.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dunham Dynamic Macro helps investors to forecast how Dunham mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dunham Dynamic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dunham Dynamic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7911.3111.82
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3314.0715.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.8311.3112.79
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Dunham Dynamic Macro extending back to May 03, 2010. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Dunham Dynamic stands at 11.48, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 11.48 and the lowest price hitting 11.48 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Dunham Dynamic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.48 90 days 11.48 
about 5.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Dynamic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.37 (This Dunham Dynamic Macro probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Dynamic Macro has a beta of -0.14 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dunham Dynamic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dunham Dynamic Macro is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dunham Dynamic Macro has an alpha of 0.2, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dunham Dynamic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dunham Dynamic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Dynamic Macro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham Dynamic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3314.0715.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2110.6912.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8311.3112.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7911.3111.82
Details

Dunham Dynamic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Dynamic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Dynamic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Dynamic Macro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Dynamic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Dunham Dynamic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Dynamic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Dynamic Macro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: GelreGroen consortium secures funding for Dutch ViA15 project - MSN
The fund retains about 60.96% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Dunham Dynamic Fundamentals Growth

Dunham Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dunham Dynamic, and Dunham Dynamic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dunham Mutual Fund performance.

About Dunham Dynamic Performance

Evaluating Dunham Dynamic's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Dunham Dynamic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dunham Dynamic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund may invest in or seek exposure to a wide range of asset classes including, without limitation, equity , fixed-income commodities, real estate investment trusts and currencies. The Sub-Advisers strategy seeks long and short exposure in these various asset classes and currencies.

Things to note about Dunham Dynamic Macro performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Dynamic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Dynamic Macro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: GelreGroen consortium secures funding for Dutch ViA15 project - MSN
The fund retains about 60.96% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Dunham Dynamic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dunham Dynamic's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Dunham Dynamic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dunham Dynamic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dunham Dynamic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dunham Dynamic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dunham Dynamic's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dunham Dynamic's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Dunham Dynamic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dunham Dynamic's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dunham Dynamic's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Dynamic security.
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