Dunham Monthly Distribution Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

DNMDX Fund  USD 29.05  0.07  0.24%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0404, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dunham Monthly's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dunham Monthly is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dunham Monthly Distribution are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Dunham Monthly is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Opinion Target-date funds and other autopilot investments may offer you free money - MarketWatch
11/24/2025
Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio2.3800
  

Dunham Monthly Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,858  in Dunham Monthly Distribution on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  47.00  from holding Dunham Monthly Distribution or generate 1.64% return on investment over 90 days. Dunham Monthly Distribution is currently producing 0.0268% returns and takes up 0.0972% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Dunham, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Monthly is expected to generate 3.57 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 8.43 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.28 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Dunham Monthly Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
29.05
Please note that Dunham Monthly's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Dunham Monthly Distr shows a prevailing Real Value of $26.68 per share. The current price of the fund is $29.05. We determine the value of Dunham Monthly Distr from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Dunham Monthly is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dunham Mutual Fund. However, Dunham Monthly's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.05 Real  26.68 Hype  29.05 Naive  28.98
The intrinsic value of Dunham Monthly's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dunham Monthly's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
26.68
Real Value
31.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dunham Monthly Distribution helps investors to forecast how Dunham mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dunham Monthly more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dunham Monthly's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.6728.8729.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9629.0529.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.8828.9829.07
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Dunham Monthly Distribution extending back to September 30, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Dunham Monthly stands at 29.05, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 29.05 and the lowest price hitting 29.05 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Dunham Monthly Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.05 90 days 29.05 
about 5.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Monthly to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.91 (This Dunham Monthly Distribution probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Monthly has a beta of 0.0404 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dunham Monthly average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dunham Monthly Distribution will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dunham Monthly Distribution has an alpha of 0.0179, implying that it can generate a 0.0179 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dunham Monthly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dunham Monthly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Monthly Distr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham Monthly's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9629.0529.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.5926.6831.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.8828.9829.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.6728.8729.08
Details

Dunham Monthly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Monthly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Monthly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Monthly Distribution, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Monthly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.61

Dunham Monthly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Monthly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Monthly Distr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 43.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Dunham Monthly Fundamentals Growth

Dunham Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dunham Monthly, and Dunham Monthly fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dunham Mutual Fund performance.

About Dunham Monthly Performance

Evaluating Dunham Monthly's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Dunham Monthly has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dunham Monthly has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The sub-adviser seeks to achieve attractive absolute returns by utilizing an event driven strategy across a diversified set of equities while actively managing risk to preserve capital, minimize volatility, and maintain liquidity. The sub-adviser generally seeks to accomplish this objective by investing in equities and other new issues and equity-related securities across a diversified range of industries.

Things to note about Dunham Monthly Distr performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Monthly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Monthly Distr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 43.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Dunham Monthly's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dunham Monthly's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Dunham Monthly's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dunham Monthly's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dunham Monthly's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dunham Monthly's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dunham Monthly's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dunham Monthly's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Dunham Monthly's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dunham Monthly's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dunham Monthly's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham Monthly financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Monthly security.
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