Eurocastle Investment (Netherlands) Performance

ECT Stock  EUR 11.70  0.30  2.50%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.37, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Eurocastle Investment will likely underperform. At this point, Eurocastle Investment has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to confirm Eurocastle Investment's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Eurocastle Investment performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Eurocastle Investment has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow25.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities6.3 M
  

Eurocastle Investment Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,290  in Eurocastle Investment on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (120.00) from holding Eurocastle Investment or give up 9.3% of portfolio value over 90 days. Eurocastle Investment is producing return of less than zero assuming 4.8833% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 43% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Eurocastle Investment, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eurocastle Investment is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.47 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Eurocastle Investment Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Eurocastle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.70 90 days 11.70 
about 51.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eurocastle Investment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.75 (This Eurocastle Investment probability density function shows the probability of Eurocastle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Eurocastle Investment will likely underperform. Additionally Eurocastle Investment has an alpha of 0.5259, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eurocastle Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eurocastle Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurocastle Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.3711.7017.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.629.9515.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.5112.8418.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7612.4514.15
Details

Eurocastle Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eurocastle Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eurocastle Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eurocastle Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eurocastle Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Eurocastle Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eurocastle Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eurocastle Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eurocastle Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eurocastle Investment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Eurocastle Investment has accumulated about 39.19 M in cash with (2.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87.

Eurocastle Investment Fundamentals Growth

Eurocastle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Eurocastle Investment, and Eurocastle Investment fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Eurocastle Stock performance.

About Eurocastle Investment Performance

Assessing Eurocastle Investment's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Eurocastle Investment's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Eurocastle Investment is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about Eurocastle Investment performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eurocastle Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Eurocastle Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eurocastle Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eurocastle Investment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Eurocastle Investment has accumulated about 39.19 M in cash with (2.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87.
Evaluating Eurocastle Investment's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Eurocastle Investment's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Eurocastle Investment's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Eurocastle Investment's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Eurocastle Investment's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Eurocastle Investment's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Eurocastle Investment's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Eurocastle Investment's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Eurocastle Investment's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Eurocastle Investment's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Eurocastle Investment's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Eurocastle Stock Analysis

When running Eurocastle Investment's price analysis, check to measure Eurocastle Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eurocastle Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Eurocastle Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eurocastle Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eurocastle Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eurocastle Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.