Educational Development Stock Performance

EDUC Stock  USD 1.37  0.02  1.44%   
Educational Development has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.91, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Educational Development returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Educational Development is expected to follow. Educational Development right now shows a risk of 2.1%. Please confirm Educational Development skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Educational Development will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Educational Development are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Educational Development is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-429.6 K

Educational Development Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  135.00  in Educational Development on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.50  from holding Educational Development or generate 0.37% return on investment over 90 days. Educational Development is currently generating 0.0281% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.0976% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Educational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Educational Development is expected to generate 3.23 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.81 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Educational Development Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Educational Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.37 90 days 1.37 
about 30.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Educational Development to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.82 (This Educational Development probability density function shows the probability of Educational Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Educational Development has a beta of 0.91 suggesting Educational Development market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Educational Development is expected to follow. Additionally Educational Development has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Educational Development Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Educational Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Educational Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Educational Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.373.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.363.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.343.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.341.401.47
Details

Educational Development Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Educational Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Educational Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Educational Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Educational Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Educational Development Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Educational Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Educational Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Educational Development may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.15 M.
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Educational Development Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Educational Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Educational Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Educational Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments428.4 K

Educational Development Fundamentals Growth

Educational Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Educational Development, and Educational Development fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Educational Stock performance.

About Educational Development Performance

By analyzing Educational Development's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Educational Development's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Educational Development has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Educational Development has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Educational Development Corporation, a publishing company, operates as a trade co-publisher of educational childrens books in the United States. Educational Development Corporation was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Educational Dev operates under Publishing classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 166 people.

Things to note about Educational Development performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Educational Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Educational Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Educational Development may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.15 M.
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Educational Development's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Educational Development's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Educational Development's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Educational Development's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Educational Development's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Educational Development's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Educational Development's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Educational Development's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Educational Development's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Educational Development's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Educational Development's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Educational Stock analysis

When running Educational Development's price analysis, check to measure Educational Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Educational Development is operating at the current time. Most of Educational Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Educational Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Educational Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Educational Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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