Emerge Commerce Stock Performance

EMCMF Stock  USD 0.10  0.00  0.00%   
Emerge Commerce holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Emerge Commerce's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Emerge Commerce is expected to be smaller as well. Use Emerge Commerce variance and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and relative strength index , to analyze future returns on Emerge Commerce.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerge Commerce are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile primary indicators, Emerge Commerce reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow12.4 M
Free Cash Flow-3.5 M
  

Emerge Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6.00  in Emerge Commerce on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4.00  from holding Emerge Commerce or generate 66.67% return on investment over 90 days. Emerge Commerce is currently producing 1.0003% returns and takes up 6.6654% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 59% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Emerge, and 80% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerge Commerce is expected to generate 8.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Emerge Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Emerge Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.10 
about 16.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Emerge Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.43 (This Emerge Commerce probability density function shows the probability of Emerge Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerge Commerce has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Emerge Commerce average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Emerge Commerce will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Emerge Commerce has an alpha of 0.9356, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Emerge Commerce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Emerge Commerce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emerge Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.106.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.096.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.116.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.100.100.10
Details

Emerge Commerce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Emerge Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Emerge Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Emerge Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Emerge Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Emerge Commerce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Emerge Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Emerge Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Emerge Commerce is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Emerge Commerce has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Emerge Commerce appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Emerge Commerce has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Emerge Commerce has accumulated 24.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.06, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Emerge Commerce has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Emerge Commerce until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Emerge Commerce's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Emerge Commerce sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Emerge to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Emerge Commerce's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 34.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.17 M.
Emerge Commerce has accumulated about 5.39 M in cash with (3.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 20.0% of Emerge Commerce shares are held by company insiders

Emerge Commerce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Emerge Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Emerge Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Emerge Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.6 M
Short Long Term Debt24.3 M
Shares Float85.8 M

Emerge Commerce Fundamentals Growth

Emerge Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Emerge Commerce, and Emerge Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Emerge Pink Sheet performance.

About Emerge Commerce Performance

By analyzing Emerge Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Emerge Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Emerge Commerce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Emerge Commerce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Emerge Commerce Ltd. owns and operates online e-commerce marketplaces in Canada and the United States. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Emerge Comm is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Emerge Commerce performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Emerge Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Emerge Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Emerge Commerce is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Emerge Commerce has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Emerge Commerce appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Emerge Commerce has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Emerge Commerce has accumulated 24.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.06, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Emerge Commerce has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Emerge Commerce until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Emerge Commerce's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Emerge Commerce sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Emerge to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Emerge Commerce's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 34.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.17 M.
Emerge Commerce has accumulated about 5.39 M in cash with (3.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 20.0% of Emerge Commerce shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Emerge Commerce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Emerge Commerce's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Emerge Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Emerge Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Emerge Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Emerge Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Emerge Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Emerge Commerce's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Emerge Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Emerge Commerce's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Emerge Commerce's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Emerge Pink Sheet analysis

When running Emerge Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Emerge Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Emerge Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Emerge Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Emerge Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Emerge Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Emerge Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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