Templeton Emerging Markets Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

EMF Fund  USD 21.87  -0.61  -2.71%   
Templeton Emerging's price-return history is consolidated with risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe and alpha. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.14%, with a 2.16% dividend yield adding to total return.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
5 · Stabilizing
Over the last 90 days, Templeton Emerging Markets ranks in the bottom 95% of funds and fund portfolios on a risk-adjusted return basis. In practice, the ranking separates absolute gains from efficient gains. Over the recent period, Templeton Emerging has shown cautiously positive risk-adjusted returns relative to its volatility. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,029 in Templeton Emerging Markets on February 11, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 158.00 , a return of 7.79% over 90 days. Templeton Emerging Markets is generating a 0.1413% daily return assuming volatility of 2.12% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Templeton Emerging exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 81% of comparable funds, and EMF delivers lower expected returns than 98% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Over a 90-day investment horizon, EMF generates 2.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, EMF is 2.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.07% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price behavior in Templeton Fund may occasionally drift away from historical averages, particularly during periods of elevated market sentiment or uncertainty. However, deviations from historical norms do not necessarily imply that prices will quickly reverse.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
21.87 90 days 21.87
nearly 4.76 %
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of Templeton Emerging moving above the current price in 90 days from now are nearly 4.76 %. Recent return data has shown a distribution that skews above the current level over this window. (The chart shows where the base-case price path for Templeton Fund has been concentrating over 90 days). Wider tails indicate a broader spread of plausible outcomes for Templeton Fund.
Over a 90-day investment horizon, the fund has the beta coefficient of 1.64 suggesting when the benchmark rises, EMF tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Templeton Emerging tends to underperform. Additionally, Templeton Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.1997, implying that it can generate a 0.1997 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Templeton Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Templeton Emerging

The fund market offers a wide variety of forecasting techniques applicable to instruments like Templeton Emerging. While no single technique guarantees accuracy, combining multiple methods often improves prediction reliability.
Mean reversion in Templeton Emerging's price occurs when temporary dislocations correct back toward its historical intrinsic value estimate. This tendency of Templeton Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
19.7721.8924.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
20.3422.4624.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7222.8424.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4720.5222.58
Details
Peer benchmarking frames Templeton Emerging's operating metrics and market pricing against comparable companies. Placing Templeton Emerging's results in peer context distinguishes company-specific performance from industry-wide trends.

Primary Risk Indicators

The fund market has gone through extended turbulence over the past two decades, and Templeton Emerging has not been immune. Sharp price drops and substantial rallies have shaped Templeton Emerging's value during this period.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Investor Alerts and Insights

Setting up alerts on Templeton Emerging ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. Notifications for Templeton Emerging surface changes in technical patterns and fundamental metrics that could influence decisions.

Templeton Emerging Fundamentals Growth

Templeton Emerging's fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate Templeton Fund. Key drivers such as revenue growth, earnings trends, and margin expansion directly influence Templeton Fund valuation.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Peer and benchmark comparison for Templeton Emerging frames whether NAV returns reflect category leadership or drift. Benchmark-relative positioning reveals whether results stem from exposure choice or market direction.

Templeton Emerging Markets analytics rely on fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board